{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P67","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 67 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 3rd District by 67 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":89,"bestBid":94,"bestAsk":98,"spread":4,"volume":1,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":4.705509653320829,"iyNo":1154.941202687299,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0426,"cvr":null,"overround":7.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":5300,"askDepthUsd":26,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T12:24:19.809Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P64","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P70","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P73","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P76","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P79","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P82","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P85","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P88","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:30:52.522Z","priceCents":83,"iy":339.6150819812534,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T18:01:08.753Z","priceCents":84,"iy":368.59892974066787,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T21:15:29.313Z","priceCents":85,"iy":397.95615363352243,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T09:30:27.189Z","priceCents":87,"iy":470.44604744579124,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T18:45:28.512Z","priceCents":88,"iy":515.8914482158701,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T04:31:28.828Z","priceCents":84,"iy":372.49531525787455,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T13:16:02.029Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1121.0835594452014,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.043","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 80c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P67","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 67 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":80},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P64","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P70","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P73","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Pennsylvania","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":161}