{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P82","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 82 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 3rd District by 82 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":88,"bestAsk":95,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":10.053532535893865,"iyNo":540.656638596959,"cri":7.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0795,"cvr":null,"overround":7.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":6300,"askDepthUsd":325,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T13:23:35.792Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P64","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P67","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P70","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P73","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P76","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P79","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P85","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P88","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T19:31:18.463Z","priceCents":53,"iy":79.18165503698475,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T21:15:29.313Z","priceCents":57,"iy":93.09234236844367,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T09:30:27.189Z","priceCents":64,"iy":124.97161924485897,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T18:45:28.512Z","priceCents":71,"iy":172.23335183382494,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T04:31:28.828Z","priceCents":1,"iy":7024.197373434206,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T12:46:27.246Z","priceCents":1,"iy":7084.002328987067,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T13:00:39.765Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3506.2921132443153,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T13:16:02.029Z","priceCents":88,"iy":524.7625171871161,"cri":7.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 7.3"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P64","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P67","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P70","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Pennsylvania","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":127}