{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P82","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 82 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 3rd District by 82 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":49,"bestAsk":50,"spread":1,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":70.26819310144893,"iyNo":64.86502561959972,"cri":1.041,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0204,"cvr":null,"overround":4.46,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1457,"askDepthUsd":925,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:46:09.520Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P64","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P67","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P70","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P73","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P76","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P79","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P85","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P88","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:35:34.008Z","priceCents":46,"iy":78.37768452516724,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:11:01.078Z","priceCents":47,"iy":75.43094582529586,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T03:41:55.878Z","priceCents":48,"iy":72.49086874768167,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T03:51:16.396Z","priceCents":49,"iy":69.64675197330592,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T04:51:19.169Z","priceCents":48,"iy":72.49724831308299,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:05:59.734Z","priceCents":49,"iy":69.65326444064837,"cri":1.041}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["tight LAS 0.020","8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P64","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P67","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P70","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Pennsylvania","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":176}