{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D-P14","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 6th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 6th District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":70,"bestAsk":78,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":28.933961865302503,"iyNo":157.5293479333136,"cri":2.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1143,"cvr":null,"overround":3.41,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":902,"askDepthUsd":1602,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:41:16.726Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 6th District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D-P11","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 6th District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 6th District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 6th District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 6th District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 6th District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 6th District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 6th District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:35:34.008Z","priceCents":70,"iy":155.78774331545583,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:15:48.041Z","priceCents":71,"iy":163.76997405969558,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T02:10:55.689Z","priceCents":73,"iy":180.8964889176205,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T02:15:49.361Z","priceCents":71,"iy":163.80749941894638,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T02:20:42.641Z","priceCents":72,"iy":172.04857478574448,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T02:35:39.841Z","priceCents":73,"iy":180.90212621272144,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T02:45:30.982Z","priceCents":72,"iy":172.05393642122576,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T04:40:40.348Z","priceCents":73,"iy":180.93098140033584,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T04:51:19.169Z","priceCents":72,"iy":172.0813806112739,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:10:34.692Z","priceCents":73,"iy":180.93794782481618,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:15:33.446Z","priceCents":74,"iy":190.4720802202678,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T16:00:26.594Z","priceCents":72,"iy":172.22821365525942,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:21:23.489Z","priceCents":73,"iy":181.20340277480247,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T07:20:21.375Z","priceCents":70,"iy":157.04164277236583,"cri":2.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D-P8","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D-P11","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA06D-P17","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Pennsylvania","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":150}