{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D-P10","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Rhode Island's 2nd District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":81,"bestAsk":89,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":15.836283654671735,"iyNo":287.8167785548513,"cri":4.263,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0988,"cvr":null,"overround":3.65,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":935,"askDepthUsd":396,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:50:30.344Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D-P25","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":80,"iy":267.06323728202796,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:45:55.083Z","priceCents":81,"iy":285.18196808836456,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:40:14.733Z","priceCents":80,"iy":267.6988351433564,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:21:23.489Z","priceCents":85,"iy":379.7824743088326,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T06:40:24.676Z","priceCents":81,"iy":286.9108949766382,"cri":4.263}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D-P7","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D-P13","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-RI02D-P16","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Rhode%20Island","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":128}