{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR-P22","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 22 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in South Carolina by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":14,"spread":5,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":450,"iyYes":819.2623210615411,"iyNo":8.01355488539848,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":2.83,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":300,"askDepthUsd":306,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T03:54:49.245Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Car","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Car","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Car","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Car","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Car","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Car","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Car","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T02:01:59.105Z","priceCents":9,"iy":768.0017387846082,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 819%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 10.1"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor e"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor e"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-SCGOVR-P13","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor e"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20governor%20e","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":116}