{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P49","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 18th District by 49 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":93,"bestAsk":100,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":5.081300509842375,"iyNo":896.901389992383,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0753,"cvr":null,"overround":3.49,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":5300,"askDepthUsd":0,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:00:43.965Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P58","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P61","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P64","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P67","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P70","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P73","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:21:25.855Z","priceCents":93,"iy":887.0217314444703,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P52","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P55","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P58","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Texas's%2018th","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":152}