{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P64","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House election be at least 64 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 18th District by 64 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":40,"bestAsk":45,"spread":5,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":450,"iyYes":121.69073438969038,"iyNo":54.08477083986241,"cri":1.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.55,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":800,"askDepthUsd":806,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T17:35:32.680Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P49","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P58","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P61","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P67","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P70","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P73","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T17:00:58.769Z","priceCents":41,"iy":113.9565349085353,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T22:16:00.232Z","priceCents":40,"iy":118.84166816801498,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T22:32:12.133Z","priceCents":41,"iy":114.0134283305819,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T03:02:14.441Z","priceCents":40,"iy":118.89302450824974,"cri":1.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 122%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P49","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P52","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX18D-P55","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 18th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Texas's%2018th","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":189}