{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R-P11","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 23rd District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":39,"bestBid":29,"bestAsk":32,"spread":3,"volume":7.52,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":7.52,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":500,"iyYes":178.63696309304507,"iyNo":29.802357857816087,"cri":2.448,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1034,"cvr":null,"overround":1.1,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":3564,"askDepthUsd":4072,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-21T09:25:07.756Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R-P2","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R-P5","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T02:01:26.400Z","priceCents":28,"iy":182.05563254356653,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T21:45:32.278Z","priceCents":27,"iy":192.8507208759222,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T18:46:37.760Z","priceCents":32,"iy":152.13016556077065,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T03:45:44.594Z","priceCents":31,"iy":161.04477485959657,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T06:15:44.452Z","priceCents":26,"iy":205.9715114175781,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T16:46:08.361Z","priceCents":27,"iy":196.22207876543501,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T22:16:10.614Z","priceCents":31,"iy":161.61213511095343,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T05:15:37.418Z","priceCents":28,"iy":187.18791330208023,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T06:16:07.347Z","priceCents":29,"iy":178.59412141064757,"cri":2.448}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 179%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 35c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R-P11","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":35},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R-P14","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R-P17","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX23R-P2","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 23"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20Texas's%2023","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":194}