{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P40","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 30th District by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":92,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":100,"spread":100,"volume":167.62,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":167.62,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":404,"iyYes":7.853090831322812,"iyNo":1038.5712624424432,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":0.98,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":100,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":0,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T11:32:49.214Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P58","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P61","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P64","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T21:02:06.273Z","priceCents":92,"iy":967.7255740070876,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-30T02:16:03.726Z","priceCents":91,"iy":857.2101789547226,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T22:46:00.452Z","priceCents":88,"iy":624.403201174469,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T07:32:01.227Z","priceCents":92,"iy":984.6098270980582,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T09:16:06.408Z","priceCents":88,"iy":627.9731950071831,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T22:02:07.118Z","priceCents":92,"iy":986.0068074990551,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T03:47:04.465Z","priceCents":88,"iy":629.112637799563,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T07:46:37.685Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1001.0708297857631,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 83c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P40","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":83},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P52","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P58","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P61","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Texas's%2030th","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":125}