{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P64","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House election be at least 64 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 30th District by 64 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":15,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":896.9528178243772,"iyNo":5.081591868816569,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.1429,"cvr":null,"overround":3.44,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":988,"askDepthUsd":904,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:41:16.811Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P43","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P46","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P49","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P58","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P61","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:25:31.577Z","priceCents":7,"iy":887.0249765014813,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 897%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3","illiquid (LAS 1.14)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P40","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P43","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX30D-P46","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 30th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Texas's%2030th","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":126}