{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P21","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in Texas be at least 21 percentage points?","description":"If Ken Paxton wins the 2026 U.S. Senate primary election in Texas by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":99,"bestBid":99,"bestAsk":100,"spread":1,"volume":21407.87,"volume24h":1033,"openInterest":8176.82,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":35970,"askDepthUsd":0,"volume24h":1033},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T19:21:50.330Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P3","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P6","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P9","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P12","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P15","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P18","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P24","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P27","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P30","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T16:45:39.596Z","priceCents":25,"iy":205.8553147330367,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T18:16:09.833Z","priceCents":26,"iy":195.3217653095817,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T00:00:50.716Z","priceCents":29,"iy":168.09261614508983,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T02:45:34.689Z","priceCents":27,"iy":186.37076766290565,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T23:45:27.371Z","priceCents":23,"iy":231.15316271891388,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T13:30:32.232Z","priceCents":12,"iy":506.8849238662632,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:00:27.711Z","priceCents":13,"iy":462.9239533516102,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T00:00:26.372Z","priceCents":14,"iy":424.9500795343012,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T01:30:24.876Z","priceCents":7,"iy":919.1878327638673,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T03:30:25.018Z","priceCents":8,"iy":795.7662769513098,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T05:15:39.769Z","priceCents":9,"iy":699.7560808097663,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T16:15:53.498Z","priceCents":12,"iy":507.95747326897526,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T17:00:26.034Z","priceCents":7,"iy":920.3147587633916,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T17:15:53.202Z","priceCents":8,"iy":796.6316572595492,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T20:45:27.982Z","priceCents":7,"iy":920.5873100246247,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T21:30:37.266Z","priceCents":8,"iy":796.8993543169257,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:45:40.534Z","priceCents":10,"iy":623.8214332511068,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T03:45:25.918Z","priceCents":9,"iy":701.00282553841,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T06:00:25.680Z","priceCents":10,"iy":624.0797910235099,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T20:30:23.413Z","priceCents":9,"iy":701.9321254986594,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T00:15:24.273Z","priceCents":57,"iy":92.05181165310007,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T00:30:39.844Z","priceCents":87,"iy":464.7400529090926,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T00:45:21.147Z","priceCents":16,"iy":364.5874952910421,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T01:00:58.117Z","priceCents":92,"iy":798.636942214646,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T01:15:23.457Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1088.0188543424658,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T02:15:44.781Z","priceCents":95,"iy":1319.6176819255181,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:30:22.273Z","priceCents":99,"iy":6881.493951674328,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P3","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P6","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P9","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Ken%20Paxton%20in%20the%20U.S.%20Senate","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":114}