{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P30","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in Texas be at least 30 percentage points?","description":"If Ken Paxton wins the 2026 U.S. Senate primary election in Texas by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":5,"spread":4,"volume":1077.91,"volume24h":941.21,"openInterest":1071.51,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":5,"askDepthUsd":52300,"volume24h":941.21},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T19:21:52.450Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P3","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P6","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P9","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P12","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P15","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P18","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P21","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P24","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P27","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T00:00:50.716Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1647.7811385490497,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:00:58.075Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1307.0528079489918,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:37.458Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6810.5742481699,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:16:04.544Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1307.1809187399037,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T19:01:17.103Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1653.3542707877214,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T02:45:34.689Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2228.7901393111874,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T23:45:27.371Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3383.2417452495574,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T13:30:32.232Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6842.946472194552,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T00:30:39.844Z","priceCents":12,"iy":509.25538364751156,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T00:45:21.147Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1319.4595067675805,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T01:00:58.117Z","priceCents":8,"iy":798.6369422146455,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 9c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P30","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate primary election in Texas be at least 30 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":9},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P3","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P6","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENPKPAX-P9","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Ken%20Paxton%20in%20the%20U.S.%20Senate","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":119}