{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D-P14","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 8th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 8th District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":95,"bestAsk":99,"spread":4,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":3.8799816439662975,"iyNo":1400.6733734718307,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0421,"cvr":null,"overround":7.15,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":5300,"askDepthUsd":25,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T12:24:16.744Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D-P35","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D-P38","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["tight LAS 0.042","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D-P17","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 8"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D-P20","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 8"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-VA08D-P23","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 8"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Virginia's%208","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":145}