{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R-P39","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 9th District by 39 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":84,"bestAsk":91,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":14.043029573946992,"iyNo":387.06100263191377,"cri":5.25,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0833,"cvr":null,"overround":5.7,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":5300,"askDepthUsd":325,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T13:23:34.212Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R-P30","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R-P33","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R-P36","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R-P42","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R-P45","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R-P48","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R-P51","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R-P54","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.3"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R-P30","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R-P33","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-VA09R-P36","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20Virginia's","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":269}