{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD-P4","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 4 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":35,"bestBid":35,"bestAsk":41,"spread":6,"volume":4939.77,"volume24h":1,"openInterest":2563.7,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":437,"iyYes":155.25887495067386,"iyNo":45.015886820017855,"cri":1.857,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":0.29,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6},"computedAt":"2026-08-24T00:59:13.093Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":-10,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T01:15:59.710Z","priceCents":37,"iy":139.48059718440263,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T01:32:04.028Z","priceCents":49,"iy":85.26283924842468,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T01:46:01.800Z","priceCents":38,"iy":133.66063947549748,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T02:47:13.148Z","priceCents":39,"iy":128.14498380446543,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T03:01:00.323Z","priceCents":42,"iy":113.14225599779553,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T03:31:56.703Z","priceCents":41,"iy":117.90568837047498,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T04:01:22.432Z","priceCents":42,"iy":113.15292363743733,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T04:16:02.698Z","priceCents":38,"iy":133.6918456717575,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T04:31:05.350Z","priceCents":37,"iy":139.5228700100096,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T04:45:58.562Z","priceCents":43,"iy":108.62347714375129,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T05:01:06.482Z","priceCents":38,"iy":133.70115033799271,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T05:16:05.971Z","priceCents":40,"iy":122.9218351837092,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T05:32:15.458Z","priceCents":43,"iy":108.6312813603968,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T05:46:02.542Z","priceCents":37,"iy":139.5391597127174,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T06:01:08.807Z","priceCents":40,"iy":122.93039108704143,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T06:16:44.336Z","priceCents":41,"iy":117.93613354477685,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T06:32:05.900Z","priceCents":46,"iy":96.21092950301563,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T06:45:58.400Z","priceCents":39,"iy":128.19274938585224,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T07:16:06.069Z","priceCents":43,"iy":108.6488449486721,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T07:46:04.088Z","priceCents":37,"iy":139.56548188449756,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T08:01:07.369Z","priceCents":45,"iy":100.1841741942036,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T08:16:19.202Z","priceCents":39,"iy":128.2108866100961,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T08:31:09.492Z","priceCents":47,"iy":92.43734019378155,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T08:46:07.145Z","priceCents":43,"iy":108.66397370128142,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T09:01:10.926Z","priceCents":41,"iy":117.96632950080168,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T09:16:03.664Z","priceCents":43,"iy":108.66909891144434,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T09:30:55.390Z","priceCents":37,"iy":139.58805165128203,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T09:46:07.253Z","priceCents":39,"iy":128.22874095329385,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T10:01:05.346Z","priceCents":41,"iy":117.97719323080997,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T10:46:25.959Z","priceCents":36,"iy":145.76007891011395,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T18:31:05.235Z","priceCents":35,"iy":152.37778386503922,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-16T00:15:59.221Z","priceCents":36,"iy":145.94432224106504,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T21:46:04.068Z","priceCents":34,"iy":161.13268316618962,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T00:02:22.837Z","priceCents":35,"iy":154.19055482928394,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T00:16:23.679Z","priceCents":34,"iy":161.1708025141842,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-21T19:15:59.300Z","priceCents":33,"iy":168.87498941725937,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T00:46:02.033Z","priceCents":34,"iy":161.54599178844754,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T08:16:00.790Z","priceCents":36,"iy":148.0531642687885,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T11:01:00.362Z","priceCents":35,"iy":154.70327292787275,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T15:31:03.939Z","priceCents":36,"iy":148.1555897531129,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T16:16:07.508Z","priceCents":35,"iy":154.78063392537064,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T16:32:24.010Z","priceCents":36,"iy":148.16979852966847,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T18:01:50.970Z","priceCents":35,"iy":154.80643812081624,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T22:01:12.867Z","priceCents":40,"iy":125.08367469562971,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T22:16:11.449Z","priceCents":35,"iy":154.86904019381967,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-22T23:31:56.378Z","priceCents":39,"iy":130.4479064941907,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-23T00:02:04.793Z","priceCents":35,"iy":154.8948738773794,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-23T00:31:00.647Z","priceCents":39,"iy":130.46012844917328,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-23T02:01:01.547Z","priceCents":39,"iy":130.47861478065732,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-23T14:31:00.327Z","priceCents":35,"iy":155.1089521891774,"cri":1.857}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 155%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 32c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD-P4","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Wisconsin be at least 4 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":32},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-WIGOVD-P13","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20governor%20ele","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":177}