{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P30","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyoming be at least 30 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wyoming by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":87,"bestBid":84,"bestAsk":86,"spread":2,"volume":2419.54,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":712,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":468,"iyYes":14.868954102492113,"iyNo":409.82554744993865,"cri":5.25,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0238,"cvr":null,"overround":5.1,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":5905,"askDepthUsd":901,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-07-24T01:16:23.453Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyomin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyomin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyomin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P34","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyomin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P36","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyomin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P38","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyomin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyomin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P42","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyomin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P44","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyomin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P46","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyomin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.024","10 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 78c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P30","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyoming be at least 30 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":78},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P26","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senat"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P28","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senat"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-WYSENR-P32","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senat"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20U.S.%20Senat","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":141}