{"ticker":"KXMINASGOV-26OCT04-AKAL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?","description":"If Alexandre Kalil wins the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":3,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":17,"spread":9,"volume":34,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":5,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":465,"iyYes":902.0131170650782,"iyNo":6.8205150628739375,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.125,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.11,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":452,"askDepthUsd":1935,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:50:31.935Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMINASGOV-26OCT04-CAZE","connectedTitle":"Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?: Cleiti","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMINASGOV-26OCT04","groupLabel":"KXMINASGOV-26OCT04"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMINASGOV-26OCT04-RPAC","connectedTitle":"Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?: Rodrigo ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMINASGOV-26OCT04","groupLabel":"KXMINASGOV-26OCT04"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMINASGOV-26OCT04-MSIM","connectedTitle":"Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?: Mateus Sim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMINASGOV-26OCT04","groupLabel":"KXMINASGOV-26OCT04"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMINASGOV-26OCT04-GAZE","connectedTitle":"Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?: Gabriel ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMINASGOV-26OCT04","groupLabel":"KXMINASGOV-26OCT04"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T13:45:27.658Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1784.0777173580984,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T19:15:30.915Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2404.6706507926483,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T19:31:01.502Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1413.0855594270226,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T21:46:31.339Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2405.185227454913,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T02:46:01.875Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1165.8932556932018,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T03:01:54.361Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2406.2591963549644,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T23:15:31.269Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1789.1645255241888,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T00:15:31.849Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2410.6040706220865,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T00:31:01.791Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1789.3545659181066,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T01:01:25.452Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2410.7616454324907,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T21:15:27.645Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1792.5180786498004,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T02:00:25.929Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1172.991452991453,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T02:30:25.947Z","priceCents":7,"iy":994.7681262753295,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T00:30:41.003Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1434.149085329285,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T04:00:42.195Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1182.9011313926999,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T00:30:46.028Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1437.1210331522163,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T06:01:30.532Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1005.3833696055234,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T06:15:28.153Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1437.8331533018327,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T18:30:34.113Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1191.7862273835028,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T23:16:14.226Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1445.9544550409285,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T21:30:28.987Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1202.1210025359812,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T23:45:30.607Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1019.6293289189944,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T01:00:56.068Z","priceCents":8,"iy":895.8661035000139,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 902%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 1.13)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMINASGOV-26OCT04-CAZE","reason":"Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatori"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMINASGOV-26OCT04-RPAC","reason":"Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMINASGOV-26OCT04-MSIM","reason":"Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial e"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Alexandre%20Kalil%20win%20the%202026%20Minas%20Gerais%20gubernatorial","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":174}