{"ticker":"KXMIPRIMARY-02D26-CWEL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Clyde Welford be the Democratic nominee for MI-02?","description":"If Clyde Welford wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":25,"bestBid":18,"bestAsk":24,"spread":6,"volume":5047,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2397,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":496,"iyYes":335.565578797368,"iyNo":16.169430031283046,"cri":4.556,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.09,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":1041,"askDepthUsd":535,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T02:45:16.842Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIPRIMARY-02D26-BAMB","connectedTitle":"Will Ben Ambrose be the Democratic nominee for MI-02?: Ben Ambrose","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIPRIMARY-02D26","groupLabel":"KXMIPRIMARY-02D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIPRIMARY-02D26-JHIL","connectedTitle":"Will Jamie Hill be the Democratic nominee for MI-02?: Jamie Hill","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIPRIMARY-02D26","groupLabel":"KXMIPRIMARY-02D26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T23:00:25.640Z","priceCents":18,"iy":321.2066810989669,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T07:15:38.968Z","priceCents":19,"iy":300.78995897699065,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T17:15:44.889Z","priceCents":18,"iy":329.32422624761404,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T09:15:41.243Z","priceCents":17,"iy":354.11778966443615,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T05:01:24.501Z","priceCents":18,"iy":331.61641786017555,"cri":4.556}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 336%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIPRIMARY-02D26-BAMB","reason":"Will Ben Ambrose be the Democratic nominee for MI-02?: Ben A"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIPRIMARY-02D26-JHIL","reason":"Will Jamie Hill be the Democratic nominee for MI-02?: Jamie "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Clyde%20Welford%20be%20the%20Democratic%20nominee%20for%20MI-02%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":139}