{"ticker":"KXMISENATE-26-AELS","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?","description":"If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":58,"bestBid":58,"bestAsk":62,"spread":4,"volume":21934.61,"volume24h":2773.75,"openInterest":15576.58,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":496,"iyYes":53.32934064827746,"iyNo":101.7006246829962,"cri":1.381,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.069,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.04,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1500,"askDepthUsd":1112,"volume24h":2773.75,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T00:24:28.577Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMISENATE-26-MMCM","connectedTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Mallory McMorrow","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMISENATE-26","groupLabel":"KXMISENATE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMISENATE-26-HSTE","connectedTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Haley Stevens","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMISENATE-26","groupLabel":"KXMISENATE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMISENATE-26-MROG","connectedTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Mike Rogers","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMISENATE-26","groupLabel":"KXMISENATE-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T11:30:37.793Z","priceCents":55,"iy":88.66452237647422,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T12:15:59.806Z","priceCents":54,"iy":85.16524304025832,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T13:31:16.366Z","priceCents":53,"iy":81.81809492286261,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T13:45:35.438Z","priceCents":54,"iy":85.17573946024768,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T14:01:21.354Z","priceCents":52,"iy":78.60525616533577,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T19:15:53.463Z","priceCents":50,"iy":72.59030034485365,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T19:30:34.660Z","priceCents":49,"iy":75.5546723593855,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T22:00:34.991Z","priceCents":50,"iy":72.60676177820922,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T23:15:33.142Z","priceCents":49,"iy":75.5781208587331,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T23:30:44.244Z","priceCents":47,"iy":81.88597214353095,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T00:16:12.046Z","priceCents":48,"iy":78.67203592949394,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T20:16:00.282Z","priceCents":49,"iy":75.70991312617925,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T00:45:47.251Z","priceCents":48,"iy":78.83217402688369,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T01:30:33.730Z","priceCents":51,"iy":75.74297079596809,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T04:30:33.314Z","priceCents":50,"iy":72.7907992429757,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T02:01:01.111Z","priceCents":51,"iy":75.89747077335792,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T11:30:59.893Z","priceCents":50,"iy":72.97883613752012,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T16:16:06.340Z","priceCents":51,"iy":75.98764652726658,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T03:02:04.146Z","priceCents":55,"iy":89.49087382544624,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T11:15:59.189Z","priceCents":54,"iy":86.0128676297315,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T11:31:16.635Z","priceCents":55,"iy":89.55446930333764,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:30:56.413Z","priceCents":54,"iy":86.05069735118404,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T21:30:58.214Z","priceCents":53,"iy":82.69491462824095,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T21:46:34.907Z","priceCents":54,"iy":86.08856036341166,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:01:05.351Z","priceCents":55,"iy":89.6331003542461,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:16:15.308Z","priceCents":52,"iy":79.44927670182193,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:30:59.673Z","priceCents":51,"iy":76.33270693903467,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:46:41.440Z","priceCents":52,"iy":79.45262915363946,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T03:15:58.834Z","priceCents":57,"iy":97.2558607933694,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T05:31:00.886Z","priceCents":58,"iy":101.33749214359192,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T15:45:57.405Z","priceCents":59,"iy":105.68968272384222,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T16:15:57.772Z","priceCents":63,"iy":125.06091927036213,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T16:31:09.655Z","priceCents":64,"iy":130.57769674805638,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T19:02:54.005Z","priceCents":63,"iy":125.09011846814842,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T20:00:58.040Z","priceCents":64,"iy":130.616071726116,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T22:31:09.159Z","priceCents":63,"iy":125.12638472246836,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T22:45:56.786Z","priceCents":62,"iy":119.90237414118535,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T01:01:49.993Z","priceCents":64,"iy":130.67104504168273,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T02:31:22.574Z","priceCents":66,"iy":142.69906786528358,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T02:46:09.080Z","priceCents":62,"iy":119.94246153944002,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T03:00:57.002Z","priceCents":60,"iy":110.27212542220626,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T03:46:04.733Z","priceCents":61,"iy":114.99178917824229,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T07:02:01.144Z","priceCents":60,"iy":110.30922850027802,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T11:16:20.542Z","priceCents":61,"iy":115.06433189173464,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T14:31:25.706Z","priceCents":62,"iy":120.06094830641378,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T15:15:55.738Z","priceCents":63,"iy":125.30247374165285,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T16:45:56.256Z","priceCents":62,"iy":120.08370518776464,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T18:45:58.877Z","priceCents":61,"iy":115.1367339858455,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:46:05.572Z","priceCents":57,"iy":97.60331666437882,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:00:59.617Z","priceCents":58,"iy":101.69098123486762,"cri":1.381}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["3 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 52c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMISENATE-26-AELS","marketTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":52},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMISENATE-26-MMCM","reason":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Mallory McMorro"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMISENATE-26-HSTE","reason":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Haley Stevens"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMISENATE-26-MROG","reason":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Mike Rogers"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20the%202026%20Michigan%20Senate%20race%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":176}