{"ticker":"KXMISENATE-26-AELS","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?","description":"If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":49,"bestBid":45,"bestAsk":46,"spread":1,"volume":2487.92,"volume24h":89.69,"openInterest":2256.92,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":543,"iyYes":82.094604472694,"iyNo":54.955892250315806,"cri":1.222,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0222,"cvr":null,"overround":0.05,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1047,"askDepthUsd":885,"volume24h":89.69},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T05:09:36.788Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMISENATE-26-MMCM","connectedTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Mallory McMorrow","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMISENATE-26","groupLabel":"KXMISENATE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMISENATE-26-HSTE","connectedTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Haley Stevens","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMISENATE-26","groupLabel":"KXMISENATE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMISENATE-26-MROG","connectedTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Mike Rogers","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMISENATE-26","groupLabel":"KXMISENATE-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T19:40:12.932Z","priceCents":38,"iy":108.91018110468515,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T04:56:20.454Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.70926925947312,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T08:56:08.658Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.4428878057744,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T09:55:23.646Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.7429494035945,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T10:30:52.234Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.45407888442297,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T15:10:23.529Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.77860987248012,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T15:15:24.409Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.48766838369565,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T15:30:26.380Z","priceCents":45,"iy":81.85840392218986,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T15:35:24.357Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.4900443226972,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T17:06:19.215Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.79180662241345,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T17:10:23.662Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.50124682242708,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T17:35:22.087Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.79506568316759,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T17:40:44.903Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.5048118232773,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:45:23.121Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.8030513932134,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T19:10:27.933Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.51533866732113,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T22:30:23.998Z","priceCents":45,"iy":81.9022872055164,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T22:35:25.521Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.53945756578477,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T23:10:24.093Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.83305137752716,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T23:40:25.332Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.54710350298438,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T23:45:26.155Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.83696591337788,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T23:55:47.609Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.5489727020313,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:00:29.044Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.8385970718064,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:21:23.489Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.29873754529932,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:56:25.117Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.55611033842573,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:01:20.193Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.3031232294594,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:06:26.659Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.55730005152957,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:22:22.125Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.30531624066316,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:27:26.468Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.5598495397454,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:41:29.863Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.30735270917624,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:51:15.550Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.56256914865524,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:00:43.857Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.87955877803232,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:05:41.872Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.40160648610998,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:00:57.316Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.95439908043257,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:11:00.300Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.40867213917302,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:40:28.560Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.95881499760533,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:45:28.099Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.41244096554503,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:25:31.596Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.96404924499008,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:45:31.941Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.42547738799317,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:55:33.796Z","priceCents":45,"iy":82.06817524938302,"cri":1.222}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.022","3 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 44c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMISENATE-26-AELS","marketTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":44},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMISENATE-26-MMCM","reason":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Mallory McMorro"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMISENATE-26-HSTE","reason":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Haley Stevens"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMISENATE-26-MROG","reason":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Mike Rogers"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20the%202026%20Michigan%20Senate%20race%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":150}