{"ticker":"KXMISENATE-26-HSTE","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?","description":"If Haley Stevens wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":13,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":13,"spread":1,"volume":2755.11,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1987.04,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":543,"iyYes":492.738095895547,"iyNo":9.162485254256039,"cri":7.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0833,"cvr":null,"overround":0.05,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":5620,"askDepthUsd":2969,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T09:51:40.558Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMISENATE-26-AELS","connectedTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Abdul El-Sayed","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMISENATE-26","groupLabel":"KXMISENATE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMISENATE-26-MMCM","connectedTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Mallory McMorrow","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMISENATE-26","groupLabel":"KXMISENATE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMISENATE-26-MROG","connectedTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Mike Rogers","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMISENATE-26","groupLabel":"KXMISENATE-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T19:40:12.932Z","priceCents":8,"iy":767.6411152056036,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T01:56:02.811Z","priceCents":9,"iy":676.4909073430478,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T03:10:59.558Z","priceCents":10,"iy":602.2086483394808,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T04:56:20.454Z","priceCents":11,"iy":541.4519512854921,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T07:06:14.392Z","priceCents":10,"iy":602.3886497875595,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T16:35:23.936Z","priceCents":11,"iy":541.933852206289,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T17:30:22.027Z","priceCents":12,"iy":491.22523686477183,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:21:23.489Z","priceCents":13,"iy":448.52138368599685,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:51:40.184Z","priceCents":12,"iy":491.5021542239499,"cri":7.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 493%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 7.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 12c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMISENATE-26-HSTE","marketTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":12},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMISENATE-26-AELS","reason":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Abdul El-Sayed"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMISENATE-26-MMCM","reason":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Mallory McMorro"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMISENATE-26-MROG","reason":"Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?: Mike Rogers"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20the%202026%20Michigan%20Senate%20race%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":117}