{"ticker":"KXMLBALCY-26-SGRA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Sonny Gray win AL Cy Young?","description":"If Sonny Gray wins the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":6,"spread":2,"volume":77431.83,"volume24h":3370.71,"openInterest":67264.11,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-08T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":148,"iyYes":5906.706404326191,"iyNo":10.254698618621859,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":6662,"askDepthUsd":9123,"volume24h":3370.71,"observability":"direct","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-07-13T07:54:50.048Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-ACHA","connectedTitle":"Will Aroldis Chapman win AL Cy Young?: Aroldis Chapman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-BBEL","connectedTitle":"Will Brayan Bello win AL Cy Young?: Brayan Bello","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-BMIL","connectedTitle":"Will Bryce Miller win AL Cy Young?: Bryce Miller","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-BWOO","connectedTitle":"Will Bryan Woo win AL Cy Young?: Bryan Woo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-CMIZ","connectedTitle":"Will Casey Mize win AL Cy Young?: Casey Mize","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-CRAG","connectedTitle":"Will Cole Ragans win AL Cy Young?: Cole Ragans","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-CROD","connectedTitle":"Will Carlos Rodon win AL Cy Young?: Carlos Rodon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-CSCH","connectedTitle":"Will Cam Schlittler win AL Cy Young?: Cam Schlittler","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-DCEA","connectedTitle":"Will Dylan Cease win AL Cy Young?: Dylan Cease","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-DRAS","connectedTitle":"Will Drew Rasmussen win AL Cy Young?: Drew Rasmussen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-GCOL","connectedTitle":"Will Gerrit Cole win AL Cy Young?: Gerrit Cole","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-GCRO","connectedTitle":"Will Garrett Crochet win AL Cy Young?: Garrett Crochet","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-GKIR","connectedTitle":"Will George Kirby win AL Cy Young?: George Kirby","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-GROD","connectedTitle":"Will Grayson Rodriguez win AL Cy Young?: Grayson Rodriguez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-GWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Williams win AL Cy Young?: Gavin Williams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-HBRO","connectedTitle":"Will Hunter Brown win AL Cy Young?: Hunter Brown","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-JDEG","connectedTitle":"Will Jacob Degrom win AL Cy Young?: Jacob Degrom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-JFLA","connectedTitle":"Will Jack Flaherty win AL Cy Young?: Jack Flaherty","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-JRYA","connectedTitle":"Will Joe Ryan win AL Cy Young?: Joe Ryan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-JSOR","connectedTitle":"Will Jose Soriano win AL Cy Young?: Jose Soriano","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-KBRA","connectedTitle":"Will Kyle Bradish win AL Cy Young?: Kyle Bradish","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-KBUB","connectedTitle":"Will Kris Bubic win AL Cy Young?: Kris Bubic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-KGAU","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Gausman win AL Cy Young?: Kevin Gausman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-LCAS","connectedTitle":"Will Luis Castillo win AL Cy Young?: Luis Castillo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-LGIL","connectedTitle":"Will Luis Gil win AL Cy Young?: Luis Gil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-LGILB","connectedTitle":"Will Logan Gilbert win AL Cy Young?: Logan Gilbert","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-MFRI","connectedTitle":"Will Max Fried win AL Cy Young?: Max Fried","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-MGOR","connectedTitle":"Will MacKenzie Gore win AL Cy Young?: MacKenzie Gore","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-MWAC","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Wacha win AL Cy Young?: Michael Wacha","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-NEOV","connectedTitle":"Will Nathan Eovaldi win AL Cy Young?: Nathan Eovaldi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-PLOP","connectedTitle":"Will Pablo Lopez win AL Cy Young?: Pablo Lopez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-PMES","connectedTitle":"Will Parker Messick win AL Cy Young: Parker Messick","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-RSUA","connectedTitle":"Will Ranger Suarez win AL Cy Young?: Ranger Suarez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-SBIE","connectedTitle":"Will Shane Bieber win AL Cy Young?: Shane Bieber","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-SMCC","connectedTitle":"Will Shane McClanahan win AL Cy Young?: Shane McClanahan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-TBIB","connectedTitle":"Will Tanner Bibee win AL Cy Young?: Tanner Bibee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-TIE","connectedTitle":"Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL Cy Young?: Tie/Co-Winners","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-TROG","connectedTitle":"Will Trevor Rogers win AL Cy Young?: Trevor Rogers","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-TSKU","connectedTitle":"Will Tarik Skubal win AL Cy Young?: Tarik Skubal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-TYES","connectedTitle":"Will Trey Yesavage win AL Cy Young?: Trey Yesavage","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALCY-26-YKIK","connectedTitle":"Will Yusei Kikuchi win AL Cy Young?: Yusei Kikuchi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALCY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALCY-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T03:45:56.133Z","priceCents":2,"iy":11430.452233044458,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T04:46:39.201Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7544.568464747975,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T02:46:17.324Z","priceCents":2,"iy":11500.868111375476,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T12:01:05.141Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7607.892180878953,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T15:46:29.808Z","priceCents":2,"iy":11541.092354550616,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T17:46:29.358Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7619.680965539803,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T06:30:58.198Z","priceCents":2,"iy":11587.076376876379,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T11:46:07.964Z","priceCents":1,"iy":23443.734388685247,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T13:16:34.222Z","priceCents":2,"iy":11608.209148969314,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T19:46:03.409Z","priceCents":1,"iy":23494.645678506648,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T16:16:38.663Z","priceCents":2,"iy":11693.593205489482,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T11:30:59.718Z","priceCents":1,"iy":23750.36971310263,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T13:47:12.746Z","priceCents":2,"iy":11762.50073988333,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T14:32:04.124Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7814.68998382102,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T15:02:03.518Z","priceCents":2,"iy":11844.44930098875,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T00:46:01.640Z","priceCents":1,"iy":23995.139216298237,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T02:16:24.207Z","priceCents":2,"iy":11881.35255430811,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T04:31:40.386Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7844.975050298244,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T02:31:58.396Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5858.787177549341,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T11:16:56.933Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4649.5256612248995,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T11:46:41.562Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5873.9120522483145,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T12:00:58.436Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7913.995511565319,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T12:16:25.857Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5874.6998940408,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T13:46:39.057Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7917.871511540794,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T15:01:03.526Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5879.234088819388,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T15:16:37.951Z","priceCents":2,"iy":12004.322495771472,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T15:31:02.108Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7921.751310036828,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T15:47:09.852Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5880.497022830559,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T16:17:07.360Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7923.453242562182,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T16:30:59.187Z","priceCents":1,"iy":24261.936254926575,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T16:46:38.786Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7924.517321801881,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T17:16:00.502Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5882.905994385719,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T18:15:59.518Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7927.817784465462,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T18:32:39.024Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5885.040174132696,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T19:16:06.057Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7930.055144176713,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T20:31:27.565Z","priceCents":1,"iy":24289.171203871745,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T20:46:01.173Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4661.87147082549,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T21:45:57.466Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7935.600711861825,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T22:02:11.791Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5890.778510762774,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T00:00:58.051Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4666.137366777908,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T00:32:24.505Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5894.940848709976,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T03:02:05.549Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4670.0651182836245,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T03:15:58.245Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5899.426893574609,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T07:02:05.939Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4675.322924251004,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T07:16:14.034Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5906.069227761222,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 5907%","41 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 24.0","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMLBALCY-26-SGRA","marketTitle":"Will Sonny Gray win AL Cy Young?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBALCY-26-ACHA","reason":"Will Aroldis Chapman win AL Cy Young?: Aroldis Chapman"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBALCY-26-BBEL","reason":"Will Brayan Bello win AL Cy Young?: Brayan Bello"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBALCY-26-BMIL","reason":"Will Bryce Miller win AL Cy Young?: Bryce Miller"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Sonny%20Gray%20win%20AL%20Cy%20Young%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":124}