{"ticker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-YALV","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Yordan Álvarez win AL MVP?","description":"If Yordan Álvarez wins the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":50,"bestBid":50,"bestAsk":52,"spread":2,"volume":242237.37,"volume24h":188.42,"openInterest":191027.81,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-08T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":162,"iyYes":225.83978368879895,"iyNo":225.83978368879895,"cri":1,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.07,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":348,"askDepthUsd":1932,"volume24h":188.42,"observability":"low","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-30T00:18:59.906Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-AJUD","connectedTitle":"Will Aaron Judge win AL MVP?: Aaron Judge","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-AKIR","connectedTitle":"Will Alejandro Kirk win AL MVP?: Alejandro Kirk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-ARUT","connectedTitle":"Will Adley Rutschman win AL MVP?: Adley Rutschman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-BBUX","connectedTitle":"Will Byron Buxton win AL MVP?: Byron Buxton","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-BRIC","connectedTitle":"Will Ben Rice win AL MVP?: Ben Rice","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-CBEL","connectedTitle":"Will Cody Bellinger win AL MVP?: Cody Bellinger","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-CCOR","connectedTitle":"Will Carlos Correa win AL MVP?: Carlos Correa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-CMON","connectedTitle":"Will Colson Montgomery win AL MVP?: Colson Montgomery","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-CRAL","connectedTitle":"Will Cal Raleigh win AL MVP?: Cal Raleigh","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-CSEA","connectedTitle":"Will Corey Seager win AL MVP?: Corey Seager","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-DDIN","connectedTitle":"Will Dillon Dingler win AL MVP: Dillon Dingler","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-DVAR","connectedTitle":"Will Daulton Varsho win AL MVP?: Daulton Varsho","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-GCRO","connectedTitle":"Will Garrett Crochet win AL MVP?: Garrett Crochet","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-GHEN","connectedTitle":"Will Gunnar Henderson win AL MVP?: Gunnar Henderson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-GSPR","connectedTitle":"Will George Springer win AL MVP?: George Springer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-JADE","connectedTitle":"Will Jo Adell win AL MVP?: Jo Adell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-JALT","connectedTitle":"Will Jose Altuve win AL MVP?: Jose Altuve","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-JCAM","connectedTitle":"Will Junior Caminero win AL MVP?: Junior Caminero","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-JCHI","connectedTitle":"Will Jazz Chisholm Jr. win AL MVP?: Jazz Chisholm Jr.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-JDUR","connectedTitle":"Will Jarren Duran win AL MVP?: Jarren Duran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-JHOL","connectedTitle":"Will Jackson Holliday win AL MVP?: Jackson Holliday","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-JNAY","connectedTitle":"Will Josh Naylor win AL MVP?: Josh Naylor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-JPEN","connectedTitle":"Will Jeremy Peña win AL MVP?: Jeremy Peña","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-JRAM","connectedTitle":"Will José Ramírez win AL MVP?: José Ramírez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-JROD","connectedTitle":"Will Julio Rodríguez win AL MVP?: Julio Rodríguez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-JWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Jacob Wilson win AL MVP?: Jacob Wilson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-MGAR","connectedTitle":"Will Maikel García win AL MVP?: Maikel García","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-MMUR","connectedTitle":"Will Munetaka Murakami win AL MVP: Munetaka Murakami","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-MTRO","connectedTitle":"Will Mike Trout win AL MVP?: Mike Trout","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-NKUR","connectedTitle":"Will Nick Kurtz win AL MVP?: Nick Kurtz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-PALO","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Alonso win AL MVP?: Pete Alonso","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-RANT","connectedTitle":"Will Roman Anthony win AL MVP?: Roman Anthony","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-RARO","connectedTitle":"Will Randy Arozarena win AL MVP?: Randy Arozarena","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-RGRE","connectedTitle":"Will Riley Greene win AL MVP?: Riley Greene","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-RWIT","connectedTitle":"Will Bobby Witt Jr. win AL MVP?: Bobby Witt Jr.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-SKWA","connectedTitle":"Will Steven Kwan win AL MVP?: Steven Kwan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-SLAN","connectedTitle":"Will Shea Langeliers win AL MVP: Shea Langeliers","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-TIE","connectedTitle":"Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL MVP?: Tie/Co-Winners","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-TROO","connectedTitle":"Will Brent Rooker win AL MVP?: Brent Rooker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-TSKU","connectedTitle":"Will Tarik Skubal win AL MVP?: Tarik Skubal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-TSTO","connectedTitle":"Will Trevor Story win AL MVP?: Trevor Story","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-VGUE","connectedTitle":"Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win AL MVP?: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-WLAN","connectedTitle":"Will Wyatt Langford win AL MVP?: Wyatt Langford","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-YDIA","connectedTitle":"Will Yandy Diaz win AL MVP?: Yandy Diaz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALMVP-26-ZNET","connectedTitle":"Will Zach Neto win AL MVP?: Zach Neto","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALMVP-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALMVP-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T11:46:36.216Z","priceCents":48,"iy":229.7144472716992,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T12:16:32.850Z","priceCents":47,"iy":239.14135089583132,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T12:30:33.766Z","priceCents":48,"iy":229.7544895334604,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T15:16:31.592Z","priceCents":49,"iy":220.88503287051702,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T15:30:36.587Z","priceCents":48,"iy":229.92148266164284,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T19:01:34.325Z","priceCents":50,"iy":212.41677917966388,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T20:00:34.520Z","priceCents":51,"iy":221.13961685051805,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T21:01:26.295Z","priceCents":48,"iy":230.22938512985039,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T23:31:22.653Z","priceCents":51,"iy":221.32771661491648,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T00:01:54.699Z","priceCents":49,"iy":221.35479838698174,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T00:16:07.058Z","priceCents":48,"iy":230.41049487027095,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T03:30:33.303Z","priceCents":49,"iy":221.54197259353828,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T04:15:56.303Z","priceCents":48,"iy":230.6349289673583,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T07:00:47.514Z","priceCents":50,"iy":213.0354339210777,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T07:15:33.216Z","priceCents":49,"iy":221.74370001907127,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T07:45:34.322Z","priceCents":51,"iy":221.7708836929362,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T10:30:47.597Z","priceCents":49,"iy":221.91986493347824,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T11:15:32.014Z","priceCents":48,"iy":231.02705524005393,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T14:45:33.140Z","priceCents":49,"iy":222.14955802799454,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T19:31:26.373Z","priceCents":47,"iy":240.9641855846493,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:30:45.015Z","priceCents":48,"iy":231.60486306759057,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T00:00:37.924Z","priceCents":49,"iy":222.6508185691859,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T00:30:34.599Z","priceCents":50,"iy":213.94574570350048,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T01:01:08.952Z","priceCents":48,"iy":231.80309096842402,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T03:00:58.667Z","priceCents":47,"iy":241.40654471923656,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T06:16:07.900Z","priceCents":49,"iy":222.99192269709178,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T02:46:05.476Z","priceCents":50,"iy":215.32652940829448,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T19:45:57.441Z","priceCents":49,"iy":225.0566994174641,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T21:01:21.983Z","priceCents":50,"iy":216.29757805972184,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T01:46:03.508Z","priceCents":51,"iy":225.39051039962592,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T02:00:56.353Z","priceCents":49,"iy":225.40388343707082,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T02:30:58.814Z","priceCents":50,"iy":216.59150249228577,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T02:46:02.479Z","priceCents":49,"iy":225.44534993986915,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T04:01:17.391Z","priceCents":50,"iy":216.67250396243554,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T05:45:56.002Z","priceCents":49,"iy":225.61270848571638,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T08:01:40.932Z","priceCents":50,"iy":216.88622683328282,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T14:46:07.641Z","priceCents":49,"iy":226.1162783070493,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T00:00:58.125Z","priceCents":50,"iy":217.74924831766333,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:16:00.824Z","priceCents":49,"iy":226.70730144873454,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:45:57.966Z","priceCents":50,"iy":217.84411910403404,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T03:45:58.075Z","priceCents":49,"iy":226.8480898939938,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T04:15:57.554Z","priceCents":50,"iy":217.97942035390304,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T01:30:56.132Z","priceCents":49,"iy":229.45963396411827,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T03:16:02.358Z","priceCents":48,"iy":238.93833829841665,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T03:31:20.665Z","priceCents":49,"iy":229.57611234343744,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T16:01:00.398Z","priceCents":50,"iy":221.2684440887984,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T16:16:45.496Z","priceCents":51,"iy":230.31516740751482,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T14:15:58.804Z","priceCents":50,"iy":225.26553560738378,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T16:45:58.875Z","priceCents":51,"iy":234.61208155804104,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T23:16:20.778Z","priceCents":50,"iy":225.78948996319323,"cri":1}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 226%","45 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 45c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMLBALMVP-26-YALV","marketTitle":"Will Yordan Álvarez win AL MVP?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":45},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBALMVP-26-AJUD","reason":"Will Aaron Judge win AL MVP?: Aaron Judge"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBALMVP-26-AKIR","reason":"Will Alejandro Kirk win AL MVP?: Alejandro Kirk"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBALMVP-26-ARUT","reason":"Will Adley Rutschman win AL MVP?: Adley Rutschman"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Yordan%20%C3%81lvarez%20win%20AL%20MVP%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":188}