{"ticker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-CDEL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Chase DeLauter win AL ROTY?","description":"If Chase DeLauter wins the Pro Baseball American League Rookie of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":13,"bestBid":13,"bestAsk":14,"spread":1,"volume":76587.1,"volume24h":4472.48,"openInterest":57563.35,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-08T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":213,"iyYes":1145.4326077664334,"iyNo":25.5751236243265,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0769,"cvr":null,"overround":0.13,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"observability":"low","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T09:04:20.112Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-TYES","connectedTitle":"Will Trey Yesavage win AL ROTY?: Trey Yesavage","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-MMUR","connectedTitle":"Will Munetaka Murakami win AL ROTY?: Munetaka Murakami","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-KOKA","connectedTitle":"Will Kazuma Okamoto win AL ROTY?: Kazuma Okamoto","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-TIMA","connectedTitle":"Will Tatsuya Imai win AL ROTY?: Tatsuya Imai","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-KMCG","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin McGonigle win AL ROTY?: Kevin McGonigle","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-CJEN","connectedTitle":"Will Carter Jensen win AL ROTY?: Carter Jensen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-SBAS","connectedTitle":"Will Samuel Basallo win AL ROTY?: Samuel Basallo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-CEAR","connectedTitle":"Will Connelly Early win AL ROTY?: Connelly Early","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-WJEN","connectedTitle":"Will Walker Jenkins win AL ROTY?: Walker Jenkins","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-TBAZ","connectedTitle":"Will Travis Bazzana win AL ROTY?: Travis Bazzana","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-CEME","connectedTitle":"Will Colt Emerson win AL ROTY?: Colt Emerson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-PTOL","connectedTitle":"Will Payton Tolle win AL ROTY?: Payton Tolle","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-BMAT","connectedTitle":"Will Brice Matthews win AL ROTY?: Brice Matthews","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-SJON","connectedTitle":"Will Spencer Jones Jr. win AL ROTY?: Spencer Jones Jr.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-LMON","connectedTitle":"Will Lazaro Montes win AL ROTY?: Lazaro Montes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-CWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Carson Williams win AL ROTY?: Carson Williams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-MCLA","connectedTitle":"Will Max Clark win AL ROTY?: Max Clark","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-NSCH","connectedTitle":"Will Noah Schultz win AL ROTY?: Noah Schultz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-HSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Hagen Smith win AL ROTY?: Hagen Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-GLOM","connectedTitle":"Will George Lombard Jr. win AL ROTY?: George Lombard Jr.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-BMON","connectedTitle":"Will Braden Montgomery win AL ROTY?: Braden Montgomery","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-GJUM","connectedTitle":"Will Gage Jump win AL ROTY?: Gage Jump","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-EROD","connectedTitle":"Will Emmanuel Rodriguez win AL ROTY?: Emmanuel Rodriguez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBALROTY-26-TIE","connectedTitle":"Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL ROTY?: Tie/Co-Winners","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBALROTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBALROTY-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T10:30:51.432Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1646.1951654447205,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T11:45:48.684Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1465.6345506056618,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:16:03.590Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1317.961109902986,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T15:15:32.936Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1466.5898771814686,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T15:40:26.730Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1318.5495589546097,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T17:35:21.735Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1467.2252693262824,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:05:18.882Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1319.3860600374474,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T21:05:19.537Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1196.296991529085,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T23:35:30.364Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1876.88359073877,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:10:25.004Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1652.2310964666183,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:25:20.148Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1879.2784645209238,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T08:30:34.154Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1675.4689951221483,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T08:00:54.510Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1498.0094942336896,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T21:25:59.833Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1350.1370710192466,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T01:45:53.379Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1503.0816605735047,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T17:11:15.005Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1693.6223632596893,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T10:50:24.746Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1512.618971971654,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T02:55:44.130Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1364.0373658479646,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T03:45:18.963Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1236.512695428291,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T03:55:38.435Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1364.3020304728418,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T12:20:42.287Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1238.5610481033668,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:16:14.101Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1367.0239402776551,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T15:00:44.880Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1239.203267916364,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T16:05:45.060Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1367.5050326374221,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T18:10:42.460Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1239.9552813138894,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T18:20:42.037Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1368.094198665724,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T18:40:42.619Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1240.0759179727618,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T19:05:45.934Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1368.2970398703687,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T19:10:48.505Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1240.1965781076733,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T19:25:43.507Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1368.3858018125795,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T19:45:49.300Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1240.3345041596774,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T20:00:51.667Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1368.537991937485,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T20:10:47.824Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1240.4379688330307,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T20:36:41.362Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1368.6965593197347,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T20:40:47.279Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1240.5586994371913,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:45:55.083Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1369.528053507927,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:55:49.888Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1241.3353862516312,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:05:54.273Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1369.6169752398043,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:10:49.259Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1241.3987146962747,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:26:02.967Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1369.7059085195835,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:35:46.341Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1241.496598639456,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T01:47:13.305Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1241.7788210987967,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T15:50:25.836Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1043.0269379400634,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T21:40:25.550Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1137.6069092558319,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:40:31.446Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1537.6405993287742,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:30:29.356Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1382.5498671288078,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:35:31.438Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1253.1210986267167,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:35:57.422Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1382.847665824656,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:55:39.906Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1253.6904243343968,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:10:53.012Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1144.606041775327,"cri":6.692}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 1145%","24 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 12c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMLBALROTY-26-CDEL","marketTitle":"Will Chase DeLauter win AL ROTY?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":12},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBALROTY-26-TYES","reason":"Will Trey Yesavage win AL ROTY?: Trey Yesavage"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBALROTY-26-MMUR","reason":"Will Munetaka Murakami win AL ROTY?: Munetaka Murakami"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBALROTY-26-KOKA","reason":"Will Kazuma Okamoto win AL ROTY?: Kazuma Okamoto"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Chase%20DeLauter%20win%20AL%20ROTY%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":133}