{"ticker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-TFRA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Terry Francona win NL MOTY?","description":"If Terry Francona wins the Pro Baseball National League Manager of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":15,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":14,"spread":6,"volume":3095.96,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":3091.96,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-08T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":213,"iyYes":1967.627315682892,"iyNo":14.878089343537937,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.75,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.21,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":1421,"askDepthUsd":3885,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T07:22:34.509Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-TLOV","connectedTitle":"Will Torey Lovullo win NL MOTY?: Torey Lovullo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-WWEI","connectedTitle":"Will Walt Weiss win NL MOTY?: Walt Weiss","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-CCOU","connectedTitle":"Will Craig Counsell win NL MOTY?: Craig Counsell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-WSCH","connectedTitle":"Will Warren Schaeffer win NL MOTY?: Warren Schaeffer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-DROB","connectedTitle":"Will Dave Roberts win NL MOTY?: Dave Roberts","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-CMCC","connectedTitle":"Will Clayton McCullough win NL MOTY?: Clayton McCullough","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-PMUR","connectedTitle":"Will Pat Murphy win NL MOTY?: Pat Murphy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-CMEN","connectedTitle":"Will Carlos Mendoza win NL MOTY?: Carlos Mendoza","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-RTHO","connectedTitle":"Will Rob Thomson win NL MOTY?: Rob Thomson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-DKEL","connectedTitle":"Will Don Kelly win NL MOTY?: Don Kelly","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-OMAR","connectedTitle":"Will Oliver Marmol win NL MOTY?: Oliver Marmol","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-CSTA","connectedTitle":"Will Craig Stammen win NL MOTY?: Craig Stammen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-TVIT","connectedTitle":"Will Tony Vitello win NL MOTY?: Tony Vitello","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26-BBUT","connectedTitle":"Will Blake Butera win NL MOTY?: Blake Butera","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBNLMOTY-26","groupLabel":"KXMLBNLMOTY-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:20:20.480Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1663.4539443866008,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:35:11.155Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1480.7235486880834,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:45:12.092Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1663.5814155692995,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:55:13.715Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1480.816996263022,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:00:23.065Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1663.663907333695,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:15:11.055Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1480.9104556335456,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:35:10.300Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1663.8439177650846,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:00:35.801Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1481.1241213574942,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:10:19.173Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1664.0239671553782,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:15:17.587Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1481.190904540966,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:21:16.026Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1664.0839922785303,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T21:50:28.350Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1893.1962203730013,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T22:05:11.201Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1664.6244133220068,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T02:05:17.637Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1894.7088084211284,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T02:55:11.022Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1666.1424701044937,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:55:40.402Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1896.437994722955,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T07:20:39.723Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1667.5276661992673,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:20:42.309Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1898.015844306179,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:30:40.471Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1668.8397004479214,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T15:31:02.692Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1899.510358497226,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T15:51:00.929Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1670.199151700747,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T19:50:59.454Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1901.0588864029564,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T20:05:59.649Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1671.538106942205,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T00:06:01.695Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1902.584069512875,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T00:31:03.889Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1672.9398764094576,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T04:30:26.785Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1904.1721671044336,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T04:50:22.571Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1674.306018680245,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T08:50:34.036Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1905.7283082944014,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T09:20:37.979Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1675.727653769391,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T13:20:37.506Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1907.3563291513117,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T14:10:41.612Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1677.266038682911,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:10:36.417Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1909.1000054578203,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:25:40.021Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1678.6163531548034,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T22:25:36.433Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1910.6381235462536,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T22:55:48.543Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1680.0453205060119,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T03:00:40.375Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1912.3006833712982,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T03:30:37.020Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1681.5073677005798,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T07:30:42.645Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1913.939957685854,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T07:55:57.285Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1682.9259147790435,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T12:05:36.973Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1915.6082712291384,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T12:15:45.302Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1684.3084218970748,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T16:16:04.950Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1917.1306297871172,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T16:45:51.893Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1685.7548009626796,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T18:56:05.969Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1918.103054342064,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T20:26:00.660Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1686.9260312265424,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T20:50:53.809Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1918.8045127905064,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T21:10:57.359Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1687.1728134311454,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T00:16:01.420Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1920.050865909777,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T00:36:00.464Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1688.2687811324595,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T03:20:52.644Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1921.175727506568,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1968%","14 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.75)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBNLMOTY-26-TLOV","reason":"Will Torey Lovullo win NL MOTY?: Torey Lovullo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBNLMOTY-26-WWEI","reason":"Will Walt Weiss win NL MOTY?: Walt Weiss"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBNLMOTY-26-CCOU","reason":"Will Craig Counsell win NL MOTY?: Craig Counsell"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Terry%20Francona%20win%20NL%20MOTY%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":103}