{"ticker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-ARUT","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Adley Rutschman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?","description":"If Adley Rutschman is traded before Aug 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":16,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":12,"spread":2,"volume":17.7,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":17.7,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-05T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":88,"iyYes":3734.9918137165723,"iyNo":46.11101004588361,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2,"cvr":null,"overround":2.71,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":3028,"askDepthUsd":2711,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T05:09:34.631Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-TSKU","connectedTitle":"Will Tarik Skubal be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Tarik Skubal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-ZGAL","connectedTitle":"Will Zac Gallen be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Zac Gallen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-JRYA","connectedTitle":"Will Joe Ryan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Joe Ryan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-FTAT","connectedTitle":"Will Fernando Tatis Jr. be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Fernando Tatis Jr.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-LSEV","connectedTitle":"Will Luis Severino be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Luis Severino","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-LCAS","connectedTitle":"Will Luis Castillo be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Luis Castillo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-CWAL","connectedTitle":"Will Christian Walker be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Christian Walker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-JBER","connectedTitle":"Will Jose Berrios be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Jose Berrios","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-RARO","connectedTitle":"Will Randy Arozarena be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Randy Arozarena","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-YDIA","connectedTitle":"Will Yandy Diaz be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Yandy Diaz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-SALC","connectedTitle":"Will Sandy Alcantara be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Sandy Alcantara","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-JCHI","connectedTitle":"Will Jazz Chisholm Jr. be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Jazz Chisholm Jr.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-HGRE","connectedTitle":"Will Hunter Greene be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Hunter Greene","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-SKWA","connectedTitle":"Will Steven Kwan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Steven Kwan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-JDUR","connectedTitle":"Will Jarren Duran be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Jarren Duran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-JADE","connectedTitle":"Will Jo Adell be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Jo Adell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-GHEN","connectedTitle":"Will Gunnar Henderson be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Gunnar Henderson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05","groupLabel":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T04:50:21.708Z","priceCents":2,"iy":17203.070293563156,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T06:45:28.880Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11360.42765648865,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:05:37.477Z","priceCents":1,"iy":34858.4823754124,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:10:31.392Z","priceCents":2,"iy":17253.687571749677,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T21:45:31.401Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11429.18938462184,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T05:30:37.796Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6870.690338432271,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T05:35:36.352Z","priceCents":4,"iy":8679.024699553169,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T05:40:56.275Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6871.16685987179,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T05:45:39.543Z","priceCents":4,"iy":8679.626657154746,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T05:50:37.509Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6871.643447414835,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T05:55:37.814Z","priceCents":4,"iy":8680.228698262963,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T15:25:26.071Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6898.9186554320895,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T15:30:27.464Z","priceCents":4,"iy":8714.683645045761,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T12:21:03.479Z","priceCents":5,"iy":7029.832439610343,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T00:40:57.564Z","priceCents":6,"iy":6139.635093445568,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T18:45:48.710Z","priceCents":7,"iy":5249.053639467563,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T19:35:50.216Z","priceCents":8,"iy":4545.2576638620885,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T14:25:13.436Z","priceCents":10,"iy":3587.6153552121446,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 3735%","17 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0","illiquid (LAS 0.20)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 14c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-ARUT","marketTitle":"Will Adley Rutschman be traded before Aug 5, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":14},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-TSKU","reason":"Will Tarik Skubal be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Tarik Skuba"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-ZGAL","reason":"Will Zac Gallen be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Zac Gallen"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMLBTRADE-26AUG05-JRYA","reason":"Will Joe Ryan be traded before Aug 5, 2026?: Joe Ryan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Adley%20Rutschman%20be%20traded%20before%20Aug%205%2C%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":141}