{"ticker":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-GROK","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Grok be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?","description":"If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":14,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":12,"spread":5,"volume":5919.1,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":4570.1,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":2043.8268241357612,"iyNo":11.579085950127453,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.7143,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.39,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":7943,"askDepthUsd":2245,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"scientific","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:48:59.114Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-QWEN","connectedTitle":"Will Qwen be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: Qwen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMODELHIGH-27-1550","groupLabel":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-GEMI","connectedTitle":"Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: Gemini","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMODELHIGH-27-1550","groupLabel":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-CHAT","connectedTitle":"Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: ChatGPT","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMODELHIGH-27-1550","groupLabel":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-CLAU","connectedTitle":"Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: Claude","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMODELHIGH-27-1550","groupLabel":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-KIMI","connectedTitle":"Will Kimi be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: Kimi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMODELHIGH-27-1550","groupLabel":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-ERNI","connectedTitle":"Will Ernie be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: Ernie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMODELHIGH-27-1550","groupLabel":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-OTHE","connectedTitle":"Will Other be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: Other","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMODELHIGH-27-1550","groupLabel":"KXMODELHIGH-27-1550"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T07:25:23.776Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3314.214803492789,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T07:30:32.277Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4465.051403896406,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T04:30:34.048Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3350.711643722962,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T03:10:46.032Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2779.6371040470067,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:10:12.753Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2328.5391623502837,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T02:05:17.637Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1974.9634330676774,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:10:53.669Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1710.7027432376806,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:10:12.427Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1505.6240486441452,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:05:59.867Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1714.1678679794666,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:10:59.052Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1507.1673829285107,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:05:43.062Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1717.6751742228003,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:50:46.977Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1984.6466867012005,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2044%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3","illiquid (LAS 0.71)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-QWEN","reason":"Will Qwen be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: Qwen"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-GEMI","reason":"Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: Gemini"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-CHAT","reason":"Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: ChatGP"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Grok%20be%20the%20first%20to%20hit%201550%20on%20Text%20Arena%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":237}