{"ticker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Marjorie Taylor Greene leave the Republican party?","description":"If Marjorie Taylor Greene leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":45,"bestBid":45,"bestAsk":46,"spread":1,"volume":37389.28,"volume24h":198.4,"openInterest":11258.65,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":189,"iyYes":235.5515661392424,"iyNo":157.6832798122201,"cri":1.222,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0222,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.12,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":886,"askDepthUsd":224,"volume24h":198.4,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:50:26.840Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-CUEL","connectedTitle":"Will Henry Cuellar leave the Democratic?: Henry Cuellar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-TMAS","connectedTitle":"Will Thomas Massie leave the Republican?: Thomas Massie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-JFET","connectedTitle":"Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?: John Fetterman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-LMURK","connectedTitle":"Will Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican?: Lisa Murkowski","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-DBAC","connectedTitle":"Will Don Bacon leave the Republican?: Don Bacon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T07:45:43.528Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1467.040475594787,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T08:00:31.846Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1329.74979838476,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T11:30:32.723Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1468.1855468352771,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T11:45:36.823Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1330.7811503053508,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T12:00:38.753Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1468.331544155037,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T17:01:40.798Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1332.2317120919524,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T17:30:56.690Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1470.0126026938542,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T17:45:39.736Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1332.4372982884074,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T23:00:37.463Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1471.6901807888823,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T02:00:48.848Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1334.7229078675518,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T15:31:37.741Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1476.7533519596248,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T16:31:19.176Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1338.7550411713023,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T22:31:04.938Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1478.905396035705,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T23:15:30.421Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1340.639232813773,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T11:45:31.343Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1483.0049053063594,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T18:01:49.261Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1345.9108112003917,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T20:01:15.483Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1485.5711869158154,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T20:15:33.126Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1346.5404976666114,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T04:45:42.792Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1488.2963599620105,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T15:01:14.381Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1351.8586794209402,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T01:16:15.090Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1494.7370164708655,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T04:45:38.588Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1355.7753836439124,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T07:15:40.321Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1496.630795441876,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T09:15:40.447Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1357.0676522729616,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T05:15:34.531Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1503.6107950784692,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T15:00:33.867Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1365.6462585034014,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T18:15:34.866Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1507.7716263232744,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T19:45:44.959Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1367.0272349958975,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T23:01:02.969Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1678.8813590506272,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T04:31:36.840Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1534.63063989161,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T06:16:14.883Z","priceCents":16,"iy":996.1583248424861,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T06:31:11.876Z","priceCents":17,"iy":926.452316069628,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T06:45:58.984Z","priceCents":18,"iy":864.4857248653593,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T17:02:16.512Z","priceCents":23,"iy":636.7175685793869,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T17:31:23.969Z","priceCents":24,"iy":602.3259247678852,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T19:46:33.530Z","priceCents":23,"iy":637.0960118764399,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T21:00:58.362Z","priceCents":28,"iy":489.47917776438385,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T21:16:40.224Z","priceCents":40,"iy":285.5459011776486,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:01:05.351Z","priceCents":41,"iy":273.9812122806688,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:16:14.556Z","priceCents":48,"iy":206.27170308698973,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T00:30:57.928Z","priceCents":49,"iy":198.27349216018197,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:31:24.615Z","priceCents":50,"iy":190.5388333803155,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T02:15:57.649Z","priceCents":46,"iy":223.71222458482714,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T02:31:04.379Z","priceCents":47,"iy":214.91005883503087,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T12:16:17.622Z","priceCents":48,"iy":206.90094219505988,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T13:15:57.383Z","priceCents":47,"iy":215.41395111834865,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T16:31:09.655Z","priceCents":48,"iy":207.09274088661007,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T20:00:58.040Z","priceCents":47,"iy":215.73121618988898,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T20:16:14.062Z","priceCents":46,"iy":224.59286134268018,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:46:05.572Z","priceCents":45,"iy":235.1443253202707,"cri":1.222}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 236%","tight LAS 0.022","5 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 41c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","marketTitle":"Will Marjorie Taylor Greene leave the Republican party?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":41},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-CUEL","reason":"Will Henry Cuellar leave the Democratic?: Henry Cuellar"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-TMAS","reason":"Will Thomas Massie leave the Republican?: Thomas Massie"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-JFET","reason":"Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?: John Fetterman"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Marjorie%20Taylor%20Greene%20leave%20the%20Republican%20party%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":223}