{"ticker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-DBAC","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Don Bacon leave the Republican?","description":"If Don Bacon leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":13,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":13,"spread":7,"volume":9642.5,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2229.5,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":189,"iyYes":3020.0125342403053,"iyNo":12.304261117321296,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.11,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":2164,"askDepthUsd":961,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T06:47:17.011Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","connectedTitle":"Will Marjorie Taylor Greene leave the Republican party?: Marjorie Taylor Greene","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-CUEL","connectedTitle":"Will Henry Cuellar leave the Democratic?: Henry Cuellar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-JFET","connectedTitle":"Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?: John Fetterman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-LMURK","connectedTitle":"Will Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican?: Lisa Murkowski","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-TMAS","connectedTitle":"Will Thomas Massie leave the Republican?: Thomas Massie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T12:45:53.155Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2634.0477736883886,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 3020%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 1.17)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","reason":"Will Marjorie Taylor Greene leave the Republican party?: Mar"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-CUEL","reason":"Will Henry Cuellar leave the Democratic?: Henry Cuellar"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-JFET","reason":"Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?: John Fetterman"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Don%20Bacon%20leave%20the%20Republican%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":115}