{"ticker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-5","venue":"kalshi","title":"How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?","description":"If Elon Musk supports at least 5 non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":10,"spread":6,"volume":9917.51,"volume24h":2.35,"openInterest":2954.52,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":220,"iyYes":3974.7719950995966,"iyNo":6.9006458248256894,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.5,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":1064,"askDepthUsd":1119,"volume24h":2.35,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:50:45.022Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-10","connectedTitle":"How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?: At least 1","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","groupLabel":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-25","connectedTitle":"How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?: At least 2","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","groupLabel":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-100","connectedTitle":"How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?: At least 1","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26","groupLabel":"KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T19:30:46.091Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3534.937775410391,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T06:00:54.220Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4770.778928531967,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T23:45:24.855Z","priceCents":14,"iy":909.0935419315413,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T01:00:40.506Z","priceCents":15,"iy":838.798024735417,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T17:30:42.507Z","priceCents":16,"iy":779.2960409931068,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T21:01:23.147Z","priceCents":17,"iy":725.1540488585556,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T17:00:57.269Z","priceCents":15,"iy":844.5072324116568,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T23:15:34.302Z","priceCents":14,"iy":959.5913895396895,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T00:45:36.964Z","priceCents":15,"iy":885.4431996392588,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T01:45:38.148Z","priceCents":16,"iy":824.0092538443015,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T01:30:51.673Z","priceCents":14,"iy":968.2689116274936,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T19:16:23.904Z","priceCents":15,"iy":896.0728757801828,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T12:15:59.806Z","priceCents":16,"iy":840.040506062758,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T19:31:26.373Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5226.32396270644,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:15:42.259Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3880.587758428982,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 3975%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 1.50)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-10","reason":"How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-25","reason":"How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-100","reason":"How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=How%20many%20Elon-backed%20challengers%20will%20win%20seats%20in%20Congress%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":183}