{"ticker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CELL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Chase Elliott be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?","description":"If Chase Elliott wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":6,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":6,"spread":1,"volume":107882.61,"volume24h":1212,"openInterest":75834.03,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-15T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":208,"iyYes":3338.4039203982006,"iyNo":9.247656289191694,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.21,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":22094,"askDepthUsd":3251,"volume24h":1212,"observability":"medium","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:33:41.915Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-KLAR","connectedTitle":"Will Kyle Larson be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Kyle Larson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-DHAM","connectedTitle":"Will Denny Hamlin be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Denny Hamlin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-WBYR","connectedTitle":"Will William Byron be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: William Byron","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CBEL","connectedTitle":"Will Christopher Bell be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Christopher Bell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-RBLA","connectedTitle":"Will Ryan Blaney be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Ryan Blaney","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CBRI","connectedTitle":"Will Chase Briscoe be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Chase Briscoe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-TRED","connectedTitle":"Will Tyler Reddick be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Tyler Reddick","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-JLOG","connectedTitle":"Will Joey Logano be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Joey Logano","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CZIL","connectedTitle":"Will Connor Zilisch be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Connor Zilisch","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-RCHA","connectedTitle":"Will Ross Chastain be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Ross Chastain","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CBUE","connectedTitle":"Will Chris Buescher be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Chris Buescher","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-BWAL","connectedTitle":"Will Bubba Wallace be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Bubba Wallace","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-ABOW","connectedTitle":"Will Alex Bowman be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Alex Bowman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-KBUS","connectedTitle":"Will Kyle Busch be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Kyle Busch","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-JBER","connectedTitle":"Will Josh Berry be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Josh Berry","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CHOC","connectedTitle":"Will Carson Hocevar be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Carson Hocevar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-TGIB","connectedTitle":"Will Ty Gibbs be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Ty Gibbs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-BKES","connectedTitle":"Will Brad Keselowski be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Brad Keselowski","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-ACIN","connectedTitle":"Will Austin Cindric be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Austin Cindric","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-RPRE","connectedTitle":"Will Ryan Preece be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Ryan Preece","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-EJON","connectedTitle":"Will Erik Jones be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Erik Jones","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-DSUA","connectedTitle":"Will Daniel Suarez be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Daniel Suarez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-ADIL","connectedTitle":"Will Austin Dillon be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Austin Dillon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-ZSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Zane Smith be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Zane Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-TDIL","connectedTitle":"Will Ty Dillon be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Ty Dillon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-RSTE","connectedTitle":"Will Ricky Stenhouse Jr. be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Ricky Stenhouse Jr.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-JNEM","connectedTitle":"Will John Hunter Nemechek be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: John Hunter Nemech","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CCUS","connectedTitle":"Will Cole Custer be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Cole Custer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CWAR","connectedTitle":"Will Cody Ware be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Cody Ware","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T23:01:20.287Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4043.0893633518876,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T23:10:33.358Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3215.7248248392134,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T02:45:26.699Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2665.7653877830094,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T03:05:44.947Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3233.160525137997,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T04:00:38.895Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4084.7158884257055,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:05:36.323Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3242.608862351604,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:50:23.071Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2688.260505057628,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:40:19.212Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2311.329908384316,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:50:17.862Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2726.1704416698053,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T23:15:17.075Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3307.7994428969355,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T23:30:17.512Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4178.472281846542,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T23:55:27.542Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3308.2412654798018,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 3338%","29 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 0.20)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CELL","marketTitle":"Will Chase Elliott be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-KLAR","reason":"Will Kyle Larson be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Kyle La"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-DHAM","reason":"Will Denny Hamlin be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Denny "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-WBYR","reason":"Will William Byron be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Willi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Chase%20Elliott%20be%20the%20NASCAR%20Cup%20Series%20Champion%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2811}