{"ticker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CHOC","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Carson Hocevar be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?","description":"If Carson Hocevar wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":2,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"volume":255041.12,"volume24h":1044.05,"openInterest":135695.07,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-15T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":4153,"askDepthUsd":5152,"volume24h":1044.05,"observability":"direct","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T06:51:53.262Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-26-AJAL","connectedTitle":"Will AJ Allmendinger win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series?: AJ Allmendinger","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-26-MIMC","connectedTitle":"Will Michael McDowell win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series?: Michael McDowell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-26-NOGR","connectedTitle":"Will Noah Gragson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series?: Noah Gragson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-26-RIHE","connectedTitle":"Will Riley Herbst win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series?: Riley Herbst","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-26-SHVA","connectedTitle":"Will Shane Van Gisbergen win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series?: Shane Van Gisbergen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-26-TOGI","connectedTitle":"Will Todd Gilliland win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series?: Todd Gilliland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-ABOW","connectedTitle":"Will Alex Bowman be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Alex Bowman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-ACIN","connectedTitle":"Will Austin Cindric be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Austin Cindric","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-ADIL","connectedTitle":"Will Austin Dillon be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Austin Dillon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-BKES","connectedTitle":"Will Brad Keselowski be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Brad Keselowski","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-BWAL","connectedTitle":"Will Bubba Wallace be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Bubba Wallace","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CBEL","connectedTitle":"Will Christopher Bell be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Christopher Bell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CBRI","connectedTitle":"Will Chase Briscoe be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Chase Briscoe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CBUE","connectedTitle":"Will Chris Buescher be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Chris Buescher","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CCUS","connectedTitle":"Will Cole Custer be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Cole Custer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CELL","connectedTitle":"Will Chase Elliott be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Chase Elliott","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CWAR","connectedTitle":"Will Cody Ware be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Cody Ware","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CZIL","connectedTitle":"Will Connor Zilisch be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Connor Zilisch","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-DHAM","connectedTitle":"Will Denny Hamlin be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Denny Hamlin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-DSUA","connectedTitle":"Will Daniel Suarez be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Daniel Suarez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-EJON","connectedTitle":"Will Erik Jones be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Erik Jones","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-JBER","connectedTitle":"Will Josh Berry be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Josh Berry","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-JLOG","connectedTitle":"Will Joey Logano be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Joey Logano","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-JNEM","connectedTitle":"Will John Hunter Nemechek be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: John Hunter Nemech","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-KLAR","connectedTitle":"Will Kyle Larson be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Kyle Larson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-RBLA","connectedTitle":"Will Ryan Blaney be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Ryan Blaney","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-RCHA","connectedTitle":"Will Ross Chastain be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Ross Chastain","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-RPRE","connectedTitle":"Will Ryan Preece be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Ryan Preece","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-RSTE","connectedTitle":"Will Ricky Stenhouse Jr. be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Ricky Stenhouse Jr.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-TDIL","connectedTitle":"Will Ty Dillon be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Ty Dillon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-TGIB","connectedTitle":"Will Ty Gibbs be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Ty Gibbs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-TRED","connectedTitle":"Will Tyler Reddick be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Tyler Reddick","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-WBYR","connectedTitle":"Will William Byron be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: William Byron","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-ZSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Zane Smith be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?: Zane Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26","groupLabel":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T13:16:37.785Z","priceCents":2,"iy":14186.337965606956,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T20:46:01.173Z","priceCents":1,"iy":28733.301526717558,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T22:46:54.822Z","priceCents":2,"iy":14231.038543556446,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T23:17:17.135Z","priceCents":1,"iy":28757.311686761368,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T01:31:07.996Z","priceCents":2,"iy":14243.959159618356,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T04:01:35.061Z","priceCents":1,"iy":28802.697338530335,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T05:01:05.672Z","priceCents":2,"iy":14260.540919818843,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T12:17:06.106Z","priceCents":1,"iy":28881.890770743245,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-14T12:02:27.038Z","priceCents":2,"iy":14409.094204941872,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T21:46:34.337Z","priceCents":1,"iy":29687.474325900854,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T04:15:58.206Z","priceCents":2,"iy":14973.168015940124,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T18:46:20.570Z","priceCents":1,"iy":30405.661250557456,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T23:15:58.635Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15072.98408845739,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T21:02:22.132Z","priceCents":1,"iy":30688.419336209536,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T17:32:31.598Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15983.87759844138,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T18:16:59.274Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10550.107423068099,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T18:30:59.601Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15989.73652919457,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T19:02:08.616Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10553.03192884565,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T19:31:33.427Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15995.742816002,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T20:01:49.468Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10556.996749858366,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T21:16:24.122Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16006.049812509507,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T10:17:17.928Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10613.39136899409,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T18:31:00.989Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16133.979233760025,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-29T18:46:23.724Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10842.83478649676,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-29T23:01:29.669Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16458.68993061307,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T18:33:03.757Z","priceCents":1,"iy":33504.24656010087,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T04:02:25.619Z","priceCents":2,"iy":17628.15774170338,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T05:15:59.951Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11638.035882163449,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T11:32:31.600Z","priceCents":2,"iy":17682.709799889268,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T06:46:39.077Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11761.325320816268,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T07:01:44.844Z","priceCents":4,"iy":8731.013036718095,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T00:30:53.943Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11968.750422565683,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T10:47:26.094Z","priceCents":2,"iy":18217.468805704102,"cri":49}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["34 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 2c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXNASCARCUPSERIES-NCS26-CHOC","marketTitle":"Will Carson Hocevar be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":2},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNASCARCUPSERIES-26-AJAL","reason":"Will AJ Allmendinger win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series?: AJ All"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNASCARCUPSERIES-26-MIMC","reason":"Will Michael McDowell win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series?: Micha"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNASCARCUPSERIES-26-NOGR","reason":"Will Noah Gragson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series?: Noah Grag"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Carson%20Hocevar%20be%20the%20NASCAR%20Cup%20Series%20Champion%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":150}