{"ticker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T1.199","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the natural gas close price be above 1.199  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?","description":"If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gasusing the NGDM6 contract on May 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 1.199 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":99,"bestBid":86,"bestAsk":100,"spread":14,"volume":201,"volume24h":201,"openInterest":201,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":7,"iyYes":971.5198296513178,"iyNo":31196.581196581195,"cri":5.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1882,"cvr":null,"overround":14.14,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":14,"bidDepthUsd":239,"askDepthUsd":0,"volume24h":201},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:05:47.150Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T0.999","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 0.999  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T1.099","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 1.099  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T1.299","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 1.299  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T1.399","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 1.399  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T1.499","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 1.499  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T1.599","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 1.599  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T1.699","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 1.699  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T1.799","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 1.799  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T1.899","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 1.899  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T1.999","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 1.999  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T2.099","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 2.099  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T2.199","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 2.199  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T2.299","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 2.299  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T2.399","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 2.399  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T2.499","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 2.499  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T2.599","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 2.599  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T2.699","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 2.699  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T2.799","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 2.799  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T2.899","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 2.899  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T2.999","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 2.999  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T3.099","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 3.099  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T4.399","connectedTitle":"Will the natural gas close price be above 4.399  USD/MMBtu on May 15, 2026 at 5:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNATGASW-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXNATGASW-26MAY1517"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:10:31.400Z","priceCents":72,"iy":13502.682039583206,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:55:33.982Z","priceCents":71,"iy":12913.593781144109,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:10:34.077Z","priceCents":72,"iy":13584.76521307611,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:25:30.343Z","priceCents":78,"iy":18757.65921279764,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:10:31.453Z","priceCents":79,"iy":19992.65052555676,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:55:33.796Z","priceCents":78,"iy":18930.52821958615,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:10:43.286Z","priceCents":79,"iy":20115.664197117472,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:25:17.355Z","priceCents":80,"iy":21420.187793427238,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:30:17.749Z","priceCents":82,"iy":24409.538722515816,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:35:57.422Z","priceCents":84,"iy":28147.03290246768,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:41:11.449Z","priceCents":85,"iy":30394.317903502328,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:45:52.462Z","priceCents":79,"iy":20189.60797081662,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:50:53.347Z","priceCents":81,"iy":22889.85924652762,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:55:42.028Z","priceCents":83,"iy":26226.03125135263,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:00:37.933Z","priceCents":85,"iy":30456.97737201197,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:15:40.775Z","priceCents":84,"iy":28259.10632650051,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:25:41.052Z","priceCents":85,"iy":30533.412065741555,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:40:40.692Z","priceCents":84,"iy":28334.319089161614,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:50:48.034Z","priceCents":85,"iy":30614.762186698237,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:00:39.476Z","priceCents":84,"iy":28388.888888888887,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:10:50.767Z","priceCents":79,"iy":20366.2895000777,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:15:43.666Z","priceCents":80,"iy":21664.935450363562,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:20:41.140Z","priceCents":82,"iy":24684.943256795985,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:25:42.329Z","priceCents":83,"iy":26471.462025095236,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:30:55.588Z","priceCents":85,"iy":30737.603408133942,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:35:54.640Z","priceCents":84,"iy":28494.423791821562,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:45:42.320Z","priceCents":85,"iy":30787.932916542617,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:00:40.526Z","priceCents":84,"iy":28566.63685152057,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:10:47.022Z","priceCents":85,"iy":30866.039894543097,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:55:56.330Z","priceCents":79,"iy":20589.22234360831,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:10:53.012Z","priceCents":81,"iy":23367.662285312326,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:15:51.184Z","priceCents":82,"iy":24981.63728632478,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:20:44.409Z","priceCents":84,"iy":28807.125676488267,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:40:54.085Z","priceCents":85,"iy":31158.983629607308,"cri":5.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 972%","22 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.7","illiquid (LAS 0.19)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T0.999","reason":"Will the natural gas close price be above 0.999  USD/MMBtu o"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T1.099","reason":"Will the natural gas close price be above 1.099  USD/MMBtu o"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNATGASW-26MAY1517-T1.299","reason":"Will the natural gas close price be above 1.299  USD/MMBtu o"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20natural%20gas%20close%20price%20be%20above%201.199%20%20USD%2FMMBtu%20o","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":99}