{"ticker":"KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26-14-100","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will a team with at least 14% odds win the #1 overall pick?","description":"If the team officially announced as the winner of the #1 overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery has at least 14% odds, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":44,"bestBid":41,"bestAsk":43,"spread":2,"volume":162.34,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":161.34,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-25T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":22,"iyYes":2397.169925786247,"iyNo":1157.6106421277445,"cri":1.439,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0488,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.07,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":116000,"askDepthUsd":115999,"volume24h":0,"observability":"direct","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T16:09:59.953Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26-9-13","connectedTitle":"Will a team with between 9% and 13% odds win the #1 overall pick?: Between 9% an","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26","groupLabel":"KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26-3-8","connectedTitle":"Will a team with between 3% and 8% odds win the #1 overall pick?: Between 3% and","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26","groupLabel":"KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26-0-3","connectedTitle":"Will a team with below 3% odds win the #1 overall pick?: Below 3% odds","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26","groupLabel":"KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:15:33.417Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1357.785879026858,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:20:32.403Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1415.9513775079636,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T13:20:37.506Z","priceCents":41,"iy":2280.99145541766,"cri":1.439}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 2397%","tight LAS 0.049","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 40c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26-14-100","marketTitle":"Will a team with at least 14% odds win the #1 overall pick?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":40},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26-9-13","reason":"Will a team with between 9% and 13% odds win the #1 overall "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26-3-8","reason":"Will a team with between 3% and 8% odds win the #1 overall p"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNBALOTTERYODDS-26-0-3","reason":"Will a team with below 3% odds win the #1 overall pick?: Bel"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20a%20team%20with%20at%20least%2014%25%20odds%20win%20the%20%231%20overall%20pick%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2984}