{"ticker":"KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02-MMAH","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Gavin Newsom endorse Matt Mahan in the 2026 California gubernatorial race before Jun 2, 2026?","description":"If Gavin Newsom publicly endorses Matt Mahan in the 2026 California gubernatorial race before Jun 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":7,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":8,"spread":8,"volume":1885.68,"volume24h":121.46,"openInterest":666.2,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-02T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":39,"iyYes":12502.670330236975,"iyNo":70.8325640168357,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.1429,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.18,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":1639,"volume24h":121.46},"computedAt":"2026-04-24T19:19:57.610Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02-TSTE","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom endorse Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial race b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02-KPOR","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom endorse Katie Porter in the 2026 California gubernatorial race","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02-XBEC","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom endorse Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial ra","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02-NONE","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom endorse no one in the 2026 California gubernatorial race befor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T16:00:24.533Z","priceCents":6,"iy":12188.45027993293,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T16:50:16.222Z","priceCents":5,"iy":15114.85985789634,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T23:36:01.266Z","priceCents":6,"iy":12821.375186846039,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:10:16.894Z","priceCents":8,"iy":9605.04336285211,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T00:35:24.104Z","priceCents":2,"iy":41059.252967239845,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:00:31.206Z","priceCents":3,"iy":27472.570107236534,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:56:35.570Z","priceCents":2,"iy":41874.458570391704,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:35:31.836Z","priceCents":5,"iy":16311.122609779613,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:10:31.100Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11710.704712226117,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:20:28.909Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13811.732122441748,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:35:49.922Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11715.51438511237,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T16:30:54.523Z","priceCents":2,"iy":43733.952805966495,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:40:30.497Z","priceCents":4,"iy":22007.285516894866,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T21:30:33.006Z","priceCents":7,"iy":12218.826603889722,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 12503%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3","illiquid (LAS 1.14)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02-TSTE","reason":"Will Gavin Newsom endorse Tom Steyer in the 2026 California "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02-KPOR","reason":"Will Gavin Newsom endorse Katie Porter in the 2026 Californi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEWSOMENDORSE-26JUN02-XBEC","reason":"Will Gavin Newsom endorse Xavier Becerra in the 2026 Califor"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Gavin%20Newsom%20endorse%20Matt%20Mahan%20in%20the%202026%20California%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1787}