{"ticker":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27JAN01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Gavin Newsom has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":19,"bestBid":19,"bestAsk":24,"spread":5,"volume":1981.71,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":970.75,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":189,"iyYes":822.1555129468985,"iyNo":45.23672308700356,"cri":4.263,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2632,"cvr":null,"overround":1.03,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":1053,"askDepthUsd":343,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T08:41:33.219Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27APR01","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEWSOMRUN-28","groupLabel":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27JUL01","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEWSOMRUN-28","groupLabel":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27OCT01","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEWSOMRUN-28","groupLabel":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:00:52.940Z","priceCents":18,"iy":759.9845413100986,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:15:24.837Z","priceCents":20,"iy":667.334000667334,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:30:52.522Z","priceCents":21,"iy":627.7609453228598,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:02:20.452Z","priceCents":22,"iy":591.9280721108524,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:27.960Z","priceCents":21,"iy":629.5309966784517,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:45:25.371Z","priceCents":22,"iy":593.4781194810912,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:00:47.817Z","priceCents":21,"iy":629.741763290041,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:00:45.486Z","priceCents":22,"iy":593.8485054291145,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T13:45:24.767Z","priceCents":21,"iy":632.6111890677065,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T16:45:36.622Z","priceCents":22,"iy":596.5559423635182,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:15:26.084Z","priceCents":21,"iy":633.1596014530942,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:45:23.713Z","priceCents":23,"iy":563.5213134568007,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T19:00:55.492Z","priceCents":24,"iy":533.0523182971841,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T04:15:44.079Z","priceCents":25,"iy":505.89751763711206,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T08:30:57.358Z","priceCents":24,"iy":534.4399747229543,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T22:15:40.047Z","priceCents":21,"iy":636.5852274696626,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T23:00:43.327Z","priceCents":22,"iy":600.0440074424847,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T00:01:29.175Z","priceCents":19,"iy":721.6509440409915,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T00:45:27.137Z","priceCents":20,"iy":677.2019499705464,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T06:15:25.470Z","priceCents":19,"iy":722.5221632115616,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T00:01:13.261Z","priceCents":20,"iy":683.4438078118563,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T07:16:05.322Z","priceCents":19,"iy":729.4384224688253,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T10:16:30.522Z","priceCents":20,"iy":688.039887463065,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T15:15:31.691Z","priceCents":19,"iy":734.0251765794203,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T19:15:27.109Z","priceCents":20,"iy":689.2547079401198,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T23:30:25.879Z","priceCents":19,"iy":735.2147602973586,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T21:15:51.851Z","priceCents":20,"iy":734.6318538384514,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T20:15:50.714Z","priceCents":19,"iy":786.7553665816977,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T04:15:34.060Z","priceCents":20,"iy":743.1992181136993,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T06:16:07.347Z","priceCents":19,"iy":800.5868533159163,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T07:16:06.596Z","priceCents":20,"iy":751.3302662590958,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T08:01:40.932Z","priceCents":19,"iy":809.2176085094713,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T00:46:55.098Z","priceCents":20,"iy":762.0359931521149,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T03:01:20.973Z","priceCents":19,"iy":812.5643640849025,"cri":4.263}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 822%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.26)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27APR01","reason":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27JUL01","reason":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27OCT01","reason":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Gavin%20Newsom%20announce%20a%20run%20for%20President%20of%20the%20United","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":182}