{"ticker":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27OCT01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?","description":"If Gavin Newsom has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":73,"bestBid":74,"bestAsk":80,"spread":6,"volume":186.96,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":126.04,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-10-01T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":462,"iyYes":27.75365214958616,"iyNo":224.8210046910263,"cri":2.846,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0811,"cvr":null,"overround":1.03,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":755,"askDepthUsd":1619,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T12:23:51.288Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27APR01","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEWSOMRUN-28","groupLabel":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27JAN01","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEWSOMRUN-28","groupLabel":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27JUL01","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEWSOMRUN-28","groupLabel":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T05:45:21.873Z","priceCents":71,"iy":182.2439985184192,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T07:15:48.023Z","priceCents":70,"iy":173.70990649579863,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T10:00:47.453Z","priceCents":71,"iy":182.30980721942615,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T13:15:26.151Z","priceCents":72,"iy":191.5330721059338,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T13:45:24.767Z","priceCents":71,"iy":182.3678475245755,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T16:45:36.622Z","priceCents":72,"iy":191.59015454064289,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:01:19.251Z","priceCents":71,"iy":182.43411815789338,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T22:30:53.024Z","priceCents":72,"iy":191.68406265180457,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T10:00:40.367Z","priceCents":71,"iy":182.68250239288346,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T10:30:38.286Z","priceCents":72,"iy":191.88000052569862,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T15:45:24.301Z","priceCents":71,"iy":182.77180226397238,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T17:00:34.951Z","priceCents":72,"iy":191.98597362749751,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T15:00:39.628Z","priceCents":71,"iy":183.13475537959667,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T17:15:30.505Z","priceCents":72,"iy":192.38382593743924,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T17:45:31.854Z","priceCents":71,"iy":183.17792602439152,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T20:45:28.547Z","priceCents":72,"iy":192.44141667345235,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T15:45:43.208Z","priceCents":71,"iy":187.3705388152007,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T18:46:37.760Z","priceCents":72,"iy":196.84762166426424,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T06:30:27.927Z","priceCents":73,"iy":208.94066884852634,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T08:15:33.030Z","priceCents":74,"iy":219.98313435488254,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T08:30:27.504Z","priceCents":73,"iy":208.97739271663784,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T10:15:46.392Z","priceCents":74,"iy":220.0218050487876,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T10:30:27.136Z","priceCents":73,"iy":209.01412949635318,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T12:15:30.832Z","priceCents":74,"iy":220.06048934087605,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T12:31:03.249Z","priceCents":73,"iy":209.05132204071748,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T14:15:32.953Z","priceCents":74,"iy":220.0996535610266,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T14:30:43.965Z","priceCents":73,"iy":209.08808481984403,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T16:15:58.528Z","priceCents":74,"iy":220.1383652350582,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T16:30:31.926Z","priceCents":73,"iy":209.125303690832,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T21:15:51.851Z","priceCents":74,"iy":220.23590437211888,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T05:45:38.627Z","priceCents":73,"iy":209.8153585472414,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T04:15:34.060Z","priceCents":74,"iy":221.31079573890275,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T06:16:07.347Z","priceCents":73,"iy":211.1717085546693,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T07:16:06.596Z","priceCents":74,"iy":222.31770113126043,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T08:31:07.763Z","priceCents":73,"iy":211.6672211561407,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T03:02:04.146Z","priceCents":74,"iy":223.18842639516728,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T10:02:52.874Z","priceCents":73,"iy":212.1509253387189,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:02:24.844Z","priceCents":74,"iy":223.3683853269216,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:31:19.887Z","priceCents":73,"iy":212.19791164443703,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:30:56.413Z","priceCents":74,"iy":223.45823333143048,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:16:14.556Z","priceCents":73,"iy":212.38377976172683,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T00:46:55.098Z","priceCents":74,"iy":223.6237041457566,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T01:45:56.162Z","priceCents":73,"iy":212.90842740218156,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T05:16:19.132Z","priceCents":74,"iy":224.19656120159394,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T11:30:58.737Z","priceCents":73,"iy":213.0955428601956,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T14:01:51.965Z","priceCents":74,"iy":224.37330401278484,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T22:30:57.394Z","priceCents":73,"iy":213.30649890344685,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:30:59.278Z","priceCents":74,"iy":224.56537329981728,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T04:01:44.964Z","priceCents":73,"iy":213.41259514761668,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T05:16:42.115Z","priceCents":74,"iy":224.68193904922185,"cri":2.846}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["3 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 66c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27OCT01","marketTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":66},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27APR01","reason":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27JAN01","reason":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEWSOMRUN-28-27JUL01","reason":"Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Gavin%20Newsom%20announce%20a%20run%20for%20President%20of%20the%20United","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":135}