{"ticker":"KXNEXTDEF-29-DDRI","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?","description":"If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Dan Driscoll, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":10,"spread":4,"volume":2123.39,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2123.39,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-01-20T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":987,"iyYes":579.2154340401754,"iyNo":2.3598636968590214,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.33,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1698,"askDepthUsd":3682,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T09:08:04.031Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTDEF-29-TCOT","connectedTitle":"Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?: Tom Cotton","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTDEF-29","groupLabel":"KXNEXTDEF-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTDEF-29-SFEI","connectedTitle":"Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?: Steve Feinberg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTDEF-29","groupLabel":"KXNEXTDEF-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTDEF-29-JERN","connectedTitle":"Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?: Joni Ernst","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTDEF-29","groupLabel":"KXNEXTDEF-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTDEF-29-RDES","connectedTitle":"Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?: Ron DeSantis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTDEF-29","groupLabel":"KXNEXTDEF-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTDEF-29-WHUN","connectedTitle":"Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?: Wesley Hunt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTDEF-29","groupLabel":"KXNEXTDEF-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTDEF-29-NONE","connectedTitle":"Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?: No other person","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTDEF-29","groupLabel":"KXNEXTDEF-29"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T16:40:18.067Z","priceCents":6,"iy":573.0194836645188,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T18:00:22.724Z","priceCents":7,"iy":485.9612390615771,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T18:05:17.898Z","priceCents":6,"iy":573.0533639451726,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:25:17.352Z","priceCents":7,"iy":485.9899735307625,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:50:25.479Z","priceCents":6,"iy":573.0952891600637,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:00:20.132Z","priceCents":7,"iy":486.00215017831516,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:05:18.680Z","priceCents":6,"iy":573.1010328179266,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:10:38.150Z","priceCents":7,"iy":486.00555974897503,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:15:18.226Z","priceCents":6,"iy":573.1050534469321,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:35:20.905Z","priceCents":7,"iy":486.0138403340373,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T21:10:45.367Z","priceCents":8,"iy":420.6995188139631,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T23:35:30.364Z","priceCents":6,"iy":573.1849033353981,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 579%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 0.67)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEXTDEF-29-TCOT","reason":"Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?: Tom Cotton"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEXTDEF-29-SFEI","reason":"Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?: Steve Feinbe"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEXTDEF-29-JERN","reason":"Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?: Joni Ernst"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20be%20Trump's%20next%20Secretary%20of%20Defense%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":114}