{"ticker":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-IBEN","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Itamar Ben-Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","description":"If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Itamar Ben-Gvir, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":4,"spread":2,"volume":9663.96,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":3967.24,"status":"active","closeTime":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":1548,"askDepthUsd":1326,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-25T19:21:26.411Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-ALIE","connectedTitle":"Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?: Avigdor Lieberman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-BGAN","connectedTitle":"Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?: Benny Gantz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-GEIS","connectedTitle":"Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?: Gadi Eisenkot","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-IKAT","connectedTitle":"Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?: Israel Katz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-NBEN","connectedTitle":"Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?: Naftali Bennett","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-YGAL","connectedTitle":"Will Yoav Gallant be the next Prime Minister of Israel?: Yoav Gallant","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-YGOL","connectedTitle":"Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?: Yair Golan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-YLAP","connectedTitle":"Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?: Yair Lapid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:45:25.955Z","priceCents":4,"iy":128.94502217015355,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:00:47.817Z","priceCents":2,"iy":263.2841462314153,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T21:00:45.698Z","priceCents":3,"iy":173.73918374823901,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T04:01:46.121Z","priceCents":4,"iy":128.9665874955116,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T02:30:29.851Z","priceCents":2,"iy":263.42068364184803,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T19:31:18.463Z","priceCents":3,"iy":173.83993939833167,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T12:45:30.253Z","priceCents":4,"iy":129.04949887987686,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T04:30:56.700Z","priceCents":2,"iy":263.773559137855,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T04:45:27.381Z","priceCents":3,"iy":174.05491817354078,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T16:15:45.905Z","priceCents":4,"iy":129.24267480993876,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T21:00:55.842Z","priceCents":2,"iy":264.2290325730796,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:31:50.603Z","priceCents":3,"iy":174.40406443980189,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:46:49.786Z","priceCents":2,"iy":264.3067382775122,"cri":49}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 4c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-IBEN","marketTitle":"Will Itamar Ben-Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":4},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-ALIE","reason":"Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-BGAN","reason":"Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?: Benn"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-GEIS","reason":"Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?: Ga"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Itamar%20Ben-Gvir%20be%20the%20next%20Prime%20Minister%20of%20Israel%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":214}