{"ticker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JHER","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Justin Herbert win the MVP?","description":"If Justin Herbert wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":11,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":11,"spread":1,"volume":226114.14,"volume24h":2369.36,"openInterest":219325.46,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-02-12T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":596,"iyYes":550.8528577273672,"iyNo":6.800652564535399,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.21,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"observability":"low","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T06:47:10.589Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-ABRO","connectedTitle":"Will A.J. Brown win the MVP?: A.J. Brown","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-AJEA","connectedTitle":"Will Ashton Jeanty win the MVP?: Ashton Jeanty","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-AROD","connectedTitle":"Will Aaron Rodgers win the MVP?: Aaron Rodgers","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-BMAY","connectedTitle":"Will Baker Mayfield win the MVP?: Baker Mayfield","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-BNIX","connectedTitle":"Will Bo Nix win the MVP?: Bo Nix","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-BPUR","connectedTitle":"Will Brock Purdy win the MVP?: Brock Purdy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-BROB","connectedTitle":"Will Bijan Robinson win the MVP?: Bijan Robinson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-BYOU","connectedTitle":"Will Bryce Young win the MVP?: Bryce Young","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-CLAM","connectedTitle":"Will CeeDee Lamb win the MVP?: CeeDee Lamb","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-CMCC","connectedTitle":"Will Christian McCaffrey win the MVP?: Christian McCaffrey","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-CSTR","connectedTitle":"Will CJ Stroud win the MVP?: CJ Stroud","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-CWAR","connectedTitle":"Will Cam Ward win the MVP?: Cam Ward","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-CWIL","connectedTitle":"Will Caleb Williams win the MVP?: Caleb Williams","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-DJON","connectedTitle":"Will Daniel Jones win the MVP?: Daniel Jones","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-DMAY","connectedTitle":"Will Drake Maye win the MVP?: Drake Maye","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-DPRE","connectedTitle":"Will Dak Prescott win the MVP?: Dak Prescott","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JALL","connectedTitle":"Will Josh Allen win the MVP?: Josh Allen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JBUR","connectedTitle":"Will Joe Burrow win the MVP?: Joe Burrow","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JCHA","connectedTitle":"Will Ja'Marr Chase win the MVP?: Ja'Marr Chase","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JDAN","connectedTitle":"Will Jayden Daniels win the MVP?: Jayden Daniels","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JDAR","connectedTitle":"Will Jaxson Dart win the MVP?: Jaxson Dart","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JGIB","connectedTitle":"Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the MVP?: Jahmyr Gibbs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JGOF","connectedTitle":"Will Jared Goff win the MVP?: Jared Goff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JHUR","connectedTitle":"Will Jalen Hurts win the MVP?: Jalen Hurts","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JJAC","connectedTitle":"Will Josh Jacobs win the MVP?: Josh Jacobs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JJEF","connectedTitle":"Will Justin Jefferson win the MVP?: Justin Jefferson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JLOV","connectedTitle":"Will Jordan Love win the MVP?: Jordan Love","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JMCC","connectedTitle":"Will JJ McCarthy win the MVP?: JJ McCarthy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the MVP?: Jaxon Smith-Njigba","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-JTAY","connectedTitle":"Will Jonathan Taylor win the MVP?: Jonathan Taylor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-KMUR","connectedTitle":"Will Kyler Murray win the MVP?: Kyler Murray","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-LJAC","connectedTitle":"Will Lamar Jackson win the MVP?: Lamar Jackson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-MGAR","connectedTitle":"Will Myles Garrett win the MVP?: Myles Garrett","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-MPAR","connectedTitle":"Will Micah Parsons win the MVP?: Micah Parsons","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-MPEJ","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Penix Jr win the MVP?: Michael Penix Jr","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-MSTA","connectedTitle":"Will Matthew Stafford win the MVP?: Matthew Stafford","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-PMAH","connectedTitle":"Will Patrick Mahomes win the MVP?: Patrick Mahomes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-PNAC","connectedTitle":"Will Puka Nacua win the MVP?: Puka Nacua","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-SBAR","connectedTitle":"Will Saquon Barkley win the MVP?: Saquon Barkley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-SDAR","connectedTitle":"Will Sam Darnold win the MVP?: Sam Darnold","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-TIE","connectedTitle":"Will Tie/Co-Winners win the MVP?: Tie/Co-Winners","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-TLAR","connectedTitle":"Will Trevor Lawrence win the MVP?: Trevor Lawrence","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-TSHO","connectedTitle":"Will Tyler Shough win the MVP?: Tyler Shough","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNFLMVP-27-TTAG","connectedTitle":"Will Tua Tagovailoa win the MVP?: Tua Tagovailoa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNFLMVP-27","groupLabel":"KXNFLMVP-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T19:30:46.091Z","priceCents":9,"iy":591.6134276922463,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T21:01:18.290Z","priceCents":8,"iy":672.946970656466,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T22:00:24.120Z","priceCents":9,"iy":591.7120760925876,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T15:30:31.368Z","priceCents":11,"iy":474.04195296820893,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T17:30:33.003Z","priceCents":9,"iy":592.4843762681602,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T10:00:24.458Z","priceCents":11,"iy":474.62935516448175,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T03:15:27.476Z","priceCents":10,"iy":536.3361627719028,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T03:15:25.233Z","priceCents":9,"iy":603.5358862637848,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T05:01:56.922Z","priceCents":10,"iy":537.2782807095017,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T10:02:13.541Z","priceCents":11,"iy":483.17211978622936,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T04:17:03.120Z","priceCents":10,"iy":538.1311369064586,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T01:45:38.148Z","priceCents":9,"iy":606.4486774434323,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T21:15:46.352Z","priceCents":10,"iy":541.4189626841195,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T18:01:49.261Z","priceCents":9,"iy":609.1292175527512,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T23:45:32.325Z","priceCents":10,"iy":542.4059045464678,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T00:46:38.627Z","priceCents":9,"iy":609.4118583860046,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T03:45:44.594Z","priceCents":8,"iy":693.2653748835611,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T13:45:58.071Z","priceCents":9,"iy":609.9577648091741,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T03:00:43.779Z","priceCents":8,"iy":694.3766656355097,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T03:15:53.339Z","priceCents":10,"iy":543.4342064123582,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T23:45:34.134Z","priceCents":9,"iy":612.4031222142019,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T05:45:55.685Z","priceCents":10,"iy":548.9776648813056,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 551%","44 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 10c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXNFLMVP-27-JHER","marketTitle":"Will Justin Herbert win the MVP?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":10},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNFLMVP-27-ABRO","reason":"Will A.J. Brown win the MVP?: A.J. Brown"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNFLMVP-27-AJEA","reason":"Will Ashton Jeanty win the MVP?: Ashton Jeanty"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNFLMVP-27-AROD","reason":"Will Aaron Rodgers win the MVP?: Aaron Rodgers"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Justin%20Herbert%20win%20the%20MVP%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":127}