{"ticker":"KXNJ07D-26-BVAR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Brian Varela be the Democratic nominee for New Jersey's 7th Congressional District?","description":"If Brian Varela wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Jersey 7th Congressional District House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":15,"bestBid":16,"bestAsk":17,"spread":1,"volume":2045,"volume24h":318,"openInterest":1586,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":389,"iyYes":531.2013368638318,"iyNo":16.542602186070887,"cri":5.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1333,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":854,"askDepthUsd":3646,"volume24h":318},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T05:09:20.040Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNJ07D-26-RBEN","connectedTitle":"Will Rebecca Bennett be the Democratic nominee for New Jersey's 7th Congressiona","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNJ07D-26","groupLabel":"KXNJ07D-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNJ07D-26-MROT","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Roth be the Democratic nominee for New Jersey's 7th Congressional D","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNJ07D-26","groupLabel":"KXNJ07D-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNJ07D-26-TSHA","connectedTitle":"Will Tina Shah be the Democratic nominee for New Jersey's 7th Congressional Dist","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNJ07D-26","groupLabel":"KXNJ07D-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T14:23:55.129Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8624.454930152297,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T12:10:39.559Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1662.7664981921757,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:45:43.548Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4501.6133822633665,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T01:25:59.228Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9112.941461298686,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T03:40:27.327Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4511.515273818833,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T11:20:36.169Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9122.4429515969,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T16:41:06.794Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1228.015466229846,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T20:00:54.672Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1063.3339159820544,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T21:55:53.910Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1228.6937730979587,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T12:35:49.404Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1451.1400183052579,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T16:40:44.473Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1234.2666903254144,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T21:25:47.722Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1071.6382853787434,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:11:01.078Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1238.272525014418,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T01:35:36.239Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1072.1118112368044,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T06:11:20.456Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1239.1965027242607,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:30:40.752Z","priceCents":15,"iy":530.7678555695554,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:45:31.229Z","priceCents":16,"iy":491.75342655583984,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:50:35.928Z","priceCents":15,"iy":530.7869247634128,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:50:32.739Z","priceCents":16,"iy":491.86324084293756,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:46:10.478Z","priceCents":15,"iy":530.9531571818153,"cri":5.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 531%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 14c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXNJ07D-26-BVAR","marketTitle":"Will Brian Varela be the Democratic nominee for New Jersey's 7th Congressional District?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":14},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNJ07D-26-RBEN","reason":"Will Rebecca Bennett be the Democratic nominee for New Jerse"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNJ07D-26-MROT","reason":"Will Michael Roth be the Democratic nominee for New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNJ07D-26-TSHA","reason":"Will Tina Shah be the Democratic nominee for New Jersey's 7t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Brian%20Varela%20be%20the%20Democratic%20nominee%20for%20New%20Jersey's","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":127}