{"ticker":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.64","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.64 on Jun 30, 2026?","description":"If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is above 4.64 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":6,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":41,"spread":41,"volume":1192,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1182,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-30T21:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":4,"iyYes":100000,"iyNo":528.176657003526,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":6.8333,"cvr":null,"overround":1.33,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":41,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":134,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T11:22:38.523Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.24","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.24 on Jun 30, 2026?: 4.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNOTE10M-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.29","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.29 on Jun 30, 2026?: 4.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNOTE10M-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.34","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.34 on Jun 30, 2026?: 4.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNOTE10M-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.39","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.39 on Jun 30, 2026?: 4.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNOTE10M-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.44","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.44 on Jun 30, 2026?: 4.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNOTE10M-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.49","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.49 on Jun 30, 2026?: 4.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNOTE10M-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.54","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.54 on Jun 30, 2026?: 4.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNOTE10M-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.59","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.59 on Jun 30, 2026?: 4.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNOTE10M-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.69","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.69 on Jun 30, 2026?: 4.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNOTE10M-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.74","connectedTitle":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.74 on Jun 30, 2026?: 4.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNOTE10M-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXNOTE10M-26JUN30"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T01:16:16.611Z","priceCents":3,"iy":92042.3230905215,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T07:01:44.769Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T10:15:38.487Z","priceCents":3,"iy":94815.35041911039,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T14:46:05.869Z","priceCents":4,"iy":71451.87601957587,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T15:16:04.478Z","priceCents":5,"iy":56663.126072391526,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T23:02:02.056Z","priceCents":4,"iy":73520.77213596308,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T23:15:33.142Z","priceCents":5,"iy":58247.94221400973,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T05:01:46.819Z","priceCents":4,"iy":75096.442348907,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T05:15:35.549Z","priceCents":5,"iy":59497.25463280712,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T07:16:04.686Z","priceCents":4,"iy":75699.96543380574,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T08:15:38.949Z","priceCents":5,"iy":60142.22530569767,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T20:46:07.895Z","priceCents":6,"iy":51937.63245534362,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T21:15:38.809Z","priceCents":7,"iy":44128.54412854412,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T12:02:12.813Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T12:15:37.357Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T11:00:55.767Z","priceCents":4,"iy":93033.13508920986,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T11:16:06.673Z","priceCents":5,"iy":73737.37373737372,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T12:01:54.168Z","priceCents":4,"iy":93449.9679965863,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T12:16:52.640Z","priceCents":5,"iy":74068.14055324146,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T18:01:57.147Z","priceCents":4,"iy":96010.52170100834,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T18:15:55.164Z","priceCents":5,"iy":76091.72701338599,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T22:01:56.191Z","priceCents":4,"iy":97800.6028804287,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T22:16:02.251Z","priceCents":5,"iy":77512.0152006259,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T23:31:07.976Z","priceCents":6,"iy":64287.05265130223,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T00:15:56.658Z","priceCents":7,"iy":54707.645693656516,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T06:46:03.457Z","priceCents":8,"iy":48847.899453043174,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T07:15:58.556Z","priceCents":9,"iy":43053.611240732105,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T13:15:57.727Z","priceCents":8,"iy":50438.59649122807,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T13:32:00.481Z","priceCents":9,"iy":44405.67387264536,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T19:45:57.819Z","priceCents":6,"iy":71026.37353537863,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T20:01:26.398Z","priceCents":5,"iy":86245.49185424697,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T21:30:56.880Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T21:46:21.088Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T22:00:56.983Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T00:46:20.164Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T03:31:40.388Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T04:15:56.916Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T09:00:59.702Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:31:21.408Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T13:16:19.138Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T17:31:24.757Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T05:15:59.380Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T06:15:56.723Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T08:01:58.943Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T08:15:57.644Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T09:30:56.814Z","priceCents":4,"iy":100000,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T10:00:57.502Z","priceCents":5,"iy":100000,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T13:15:57.383Z","priceCents":6,"iy":90451.33396604449,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T14:01:27.063Z","priceCents":7,"iy":77082.90755501053,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T14:46:55.362Z","priceCents":6,"iy":91361.77238110454,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 100000%","10 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 6.83)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.24","reason":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.24 "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.29","reason":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.29 "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNOTE10M-26JUN30-T4.34","reason":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.34 "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20yield%20of%2010-year%20U.S.%20treasury%20notes%20be%20above%204.64%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":137}