{"ticker":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-MFON","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Matthew Fonken be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?","description":"If Matthew Fonken wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NV-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":25,"bestBid":13,"bestAsk":21,"spread":8,"volume":300,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":300,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":561,"iyYes":435.63262211329084,"iyNo":9.726768811883494,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6154,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.24,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":424,"askDepthUsd":1600,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:45:05.989Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-TBEN","connectedTitle":"Will Teresa Benitez-Thompson be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?: Teresa Benite","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNVPRIMARY-02D26","groupLabel":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-GKID","connectedTitle":"Will Greg Kidd be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?: Greg Kidd","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNVPRIMARY-02D26","groupLabel":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-MWAD","connectedTitle":"Will Morgan Wadsworth be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?: Morgan Wadsworth","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNVPRIMARY-02D26","groupLabel":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-KDUR","connectedTitle":"Will Kathy Durham be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?: Kathy Durham","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNVPRIMARY-02D26","groupLabel":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-JHER","connectedTitle":"Will Joshua Hebert be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?: Joshua Hebert","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNVPRIMARY-02D26","groupLabel":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-SWHI","connectedTitle":"Will Samuel White be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?: Samuel White","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNVPRIMARY-02D26","groupLabel":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-MJOL","connectedTitle":"Will Mark Jolle be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?: Mark Jolle","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNVPRIMARY-02D26","groupLabel":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-GENR","connectedTitle":"Will Gamaliel Zavala Enriquez be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?: Gamaliel Zav","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNVPRIMARY-02D26","groupLabel":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-JKER","connectedTitle":"Will John Kerns be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?: John Kerns","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNVPRIMARY-02D26","groupLabel":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-GGOR","connectedTitle":"Will Gerold Lee Gorman be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?: Gerold Lee Gorman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNVPRIMARY-02D26","groupLabel":"KXNVPRIMARY-02D26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:35:17.581Z","priceCents":18,"iy":295.37703847658486,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:45:31.846Z","priceCents":13,"iy":434.82845124115414,"cri":6.692}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 436%","10 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.7","illiquid (LAS 0.62)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-TBEN","reason":"Will Teresa Benitez-Thompson be the Democratic nominee for N"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-GKID","reason":"Will Greg Kidd be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?: Greg Ki"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNVPRIMARY-02D26-MWAD","reason":"Will Morgan Wadsworth be the Democratic nominee for NV-02?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Matthew%20Fonken%20be%20the%20Democratic%20nominee%20for%20NV-02%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":4771}