{"ticker":"KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26-100","venue":"kalshi","title":"How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?","description":"If New York City has less than 100 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":9,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":14,"spread":4,"volume":1435,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1101,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":236,"iyYes":1390.0172641413628,"iyNo":17.160706964708183,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.05,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":952,"askDepthUsd":608,"volume24h":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T07:22:54.976Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26-120","connectedTitle":"How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At least 3","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26","groupLabel":"KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26-115","connectedTitle":"How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At least 8","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26","groupLabel":"KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26-110","connectedTitle":"How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At least 13","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26","groupLabel":"KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T12:36:03.556Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1493.5473717343407,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:35:30.459Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1699.2757583486157,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T12:20:49.193Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1499.5492097287631,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:45:51.561Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1705.9471410398658,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:50:48.597Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1500.189245610089,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:30:50.485Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1706.4464852690676,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T17:30:25.345Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1506.9889077631142,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:10:11.953Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1714.1888691049871,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T15:11:05.157Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1512.572361206743,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T16:06:00.407Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1720.6112627790485,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T20:21:05.224Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1513.9063798289242,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T19:05:54.416Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1358.3978761852381,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1390%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0","illiquid (LAS 0.40)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26-120","reason":"How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26-115","reason":"How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26-110","reason":"How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=How%20many%20billionaires%20will%20New%20York%20City%20lose%20this%20year%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":119}