{"ticker":"KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-MSX","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Morgan Stanley serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IPO?","description":"If Morgan Stanley serves as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":21,"bestBid":20,"bestAsk":24,"spread":4,"volume":1480.49,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1149.12,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":537,"iyYes":271.81046246874644,"iyNo":16.988153904296652,"cri":4,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":2455,"askDepthUsd":4567,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-07-13T01:46:00.273Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-BOAX","connectedTitle":"Will Bank of America serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IPO?: Bank of Am","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B","groupLabel":"KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-CITIX","connectedTitle":"Will Citigroup serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IPO?: Citigroup","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B","groupLabel":"KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-GSX","connectedTitle":"Will Goldman Sachs serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IPO?: Goldman Sach","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B","groupLabel":"KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-JPMX","connectedTitle":"Will JPMorgan Chase serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IPO?: JPMorgan Ch","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B","groupLabel":"KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-NLOX","connectedTitle":"Will No Listed Underwriter serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IPO?: No L","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B","groupLabel":"KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":-359.61,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T13:46:29.346Z","priceCents":12,"iy":471.54798103472785,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T17:45:39.365Z","priceCents":10,"iy":578.8872676520966,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T23:01:44.616Z","priceCents":12,"iy":471.86885924087284,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T17:00:45.828Z","priceCents":13,"iy":431.19093020328495,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T14:45:37.927Z","priceCents":12,"iy":473.249609996352,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T23:45:30.607Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3169.8740557727688,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T01:01:36.660Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6405.041078407913,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T01:30:41.153Z","priceCents":21,"iy":243.39402779342868,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T14:30:43.965Z","priceCents":20,"iy":259.0475920106884,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T15:15:33.391Z","priceCents":21,"iy":243.64149356164577,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T00:15:32.379Z","priceCents":22,"iy":229.77588820446647,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T00:30:48.655Z","priceCents":21,"iy":243.8084821169628,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T02:30:44.075Z","priceCents":21,"iy":243.8444188887714,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T04:15:43.950Z","priceCents":20,"iy":259.31122675523505,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T13:45:58.071Z","priceCents":16,"iy":340.58553162446634,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T16:30:43.420Z","priceCents":15,"iy":367.6906302590723,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T04:15:38.147Z","priceCents":16,"iy":340.95155062897004,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T04:31:03.701Z","priceCents":15,"iy":368.0184003269166,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T06:15:39.526Z","priceCents":16,"iy":341.0019094327401,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T06:30:44.381Z","priceCents":15,"iy":368.0727579890474,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T22:15:35.479Z","priceCents":16,"iy":342.01649175412297,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T22:31:01.945Z","priceCents":15,"iy":369.16790565484325,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T09:30:53.128Z","priceCents":18,"iy":298.0898149691881,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T21:46:06.840Z","priceCents":21,"iy":249.0645288318429,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T01:16:03.413Z","priceCents":18,"iy":308.9774837691331,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T02:01:26.299Z","priceCents":19,"iy":289.1630039189827,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T20:01:31.462Z","priceCents":20,"iy":271.69210213389954,"cri":4}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 272%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.20)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 19c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-MSX","marketTitle":"Will Morgan Stanley serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IPO?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":19},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-BOAX","reason":"Will Bank of America serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenA"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-CITIX","reason":"Will Citigroup serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IP"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-GSX","reason":"Will Goldman Sachs serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI'"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Morgan%20Stanley%20serve%20as%20lead-left%20underwriter%20on%20OpenAI","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":139}