{"ticker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-JUL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the Oscars?","description":"If Julianne Moore has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":31,"bestBid":30,"bestAsk":31,"spread":1,"volume":9867.4,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":8314.8,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":489,"iyYes":174.05604400245792,"iyNo":31.96947746983921,"cri":2.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.21,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.295,"label":"maker","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1054,"askDepthUsd":4595,"volume24h":0,"observability":"none","eventType":"cultural","asPrior":0.05},"computedAt":"2026-08-29T08:05:16.276Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-ANN","connectedTitle":"Will Anne hathaway win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Anne hathaway","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-CYN","connectedTitle":"Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Cynthia Erivo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-DAK","connectedTitle":"Will Dakota Johnson win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Dakota Johnson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-IND","connectedTitle":"Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Inde Navarrette","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-JOA","connectedTitle":"Will Joan Collins win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Joan Collins","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-KIR","connectedTitle":"Will Kirsten Dunst win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Kirsten Dunst","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-MIK","connectedTitle":"Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Mikey Madison","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-NAT","connectedTitle":"Will Natalie Portman win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Natalie Portman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-OLI","connectedTitle":"Will Olivia Wilde win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Olivia Wilde","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-PEN","connectedTitle":"Will Penélope Cruz win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Penélope Cruz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-REN","connectedTitle":"Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Renate Reinsve","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-SAN","connectedTitle":"Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Sandra Hüller","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-SCA","connectedTitle":"Will Scarlett Johansson win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Scarlett Johansson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-SHA","connectedTitle":"Will Shailene Woodley win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Shailene Woodley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARACTR-27-TIE","connectedTitle":"Will Tie win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Tie","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARACTR-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARACTR-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T12:01:16.650Z","priceCents":37,"iy":119.71831132571147,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T14:16:54.970Z","priceCents":38,"iy":114.73832259974832,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T03:45:54.544Z","priceCents":32,"iy":150.47005827713843,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T04:02:17.882Z","priceCents":31,"iy":157.61146998463687,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T04:31:02.210Z","priceCents":32,"iy":150.4791080190207,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T09:16:08.619Z","priceCents":31,"iy":157.67815612535338,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T15:01:16.826Z","priceCents":30,"iy":165.37248939641952,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T02:45:58.333Z","priceCents":29,"iy":173.68383309462837,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T15:45:59.392Z","priceCents":30,"iy":166.0272505627382,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T16:01:50.388Z","priceCents":31,"iy":158.3796214572975,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T00:16:42.382Z","priceCents":32,"iy":151.30810182340278,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T23:02:10.067Z","priceCents":31,"iy":159.0904712166899,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T00:30:53.924Z","priceCents":29,"iy":175.01247339526768,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T13:31:24.126Z","priceCents":30,"iy":166.97316535375438,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T14:16:58.318Z","priceCents":31,"iy":159.28854279919017,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T14:30:58.359Z","priceCents":30,"iy":166.98691554579563,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T04:01:09.723Z","priceCents":32,"iy":153.44994045004725,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T06:02:01.570Z","priceCents":31,"iy":160.7560647834494,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T08:02:26.673Z","priceCents":30,"iy":168.55007355512015,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T09:16:01.986Z","priceCents":31,"iy":160.79901884824997,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T10:46:30.898Z","priceCents":30,"iy":168.58810922661937,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T12:01:07.736Z","priceCents":31,"iy":160.83562745755685,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T02:15:58.542Z","priceCents":30,"iy":168.80363479482264,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T02:32:05.413Z","priceCents":31,"iy":161.028495426081,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T05:16:02.009Z","priceCents":30,"iy":168.84546707744687,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T05:31:10.571Z","priceCents":31,"iy":161.06808252237028,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T13:01:00.812Z","priceCents":30,"iy":168.95365776403224,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T13:16:09.056Z","priceCents":31,"iy":161.17129196597105,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T13:32:18.010Z","priceCents":30,"iy":168.96103183278746,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T13:46:53.742Z","priceCents":31,"iy":161.17800675699675,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T15:46:05.899Z","priceCents":30,"iy":168.9922111456812,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T16:01:10.218Z","priceCents":31,"iy":161.20775041545318,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T20:17:07.927Z","priceCents":30,"iy":169.05527545092437,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T20:32:13.173Z","priceCents":31,"iy":161.2682310421462,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T22:46:04.430Z","priceCents":30,"iy":169.0901823129684,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T23:32:01.108Z","priceCents":31,"iy":161.30825639513418,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-15T21:46:00.290Z","priceCents":30,"iy":169.41240748623815,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T23:46:01.166Z","priceCents":30,"iy":171.1428389616218,"cri":2.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["maker regime","IY 174%","15 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 28c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXOSCARACTR-27-JUL","marketTitle":"Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the Oscars?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":28},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXOSCARACTR-27-ANN","reason":"Will Anne hathaway win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Anne hat"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXOSCARACTR-27-CYN","reason":"Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Cynthia "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXOSCARACTR-27-DAK","reason":"Will Dakota Johnson win Best Actress at the Oscars?: Dakota "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Julianne%20Moore%20win%20Best%20Actress%20at%20the%20Oscars%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":582}