{"ticker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-RYA","venue":"kalshi","title":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?","description":"If Ryan Gosling has been nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":50,"bestBid":44,"bestAsk":50,"spread":6,"volume":8228.31,"volume24h":9.66,"openInterest":5926.3,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":619,"iyYes":75.09650120845114,"iyNo":46.360595133788706,"cri":1.273,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1364,"cvr":null,"overround":3.5,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":4913,"askDepthUsd":2402,"volume24h":9.66,"observability":"low","eventType":"cultural","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:41:50.948Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JOH","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: John Malkovich","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-TOM","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Tom Cruise","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JOS","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Josh O'Connor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-AND","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Andrew Scott","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-CHA","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Charles Melton","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-CHAN","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Channing Tatum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-SEB","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Sebastian Stan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-KEA","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Keanu Reeves","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-ADA","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Adam Driver","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-BRA","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Brad Pitt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-TIM","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Timothée Chalamet","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JAA","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Jaafar Jackson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-MAT","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Matt Damon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-SAM","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Sam Rockwell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JER","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Jeremy Strong","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-PED","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Pedro Pascal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JERE","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Jeremy Allen White","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMACTO-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T03:07:37.247Z","priceCents":42,"iy":79.69195314549825,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T22:05:53.955Z","priceCents":43,"iy":76.71383236864293,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T01:50:54.717Z","priceCents":44,"iy":73.67328966953421,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T02:10:54.597Z","priceCents":43,"iy":76.73451539525634,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:55:27.649Z","priceCents":44,"iy":73.75657386136305,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T19:21:19.066Z","priceCents":43,"iy":76.82162800778092,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T19:26:11.172Z","priceCents":44,"iy":73.75903313599305,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T23:50:50.084Z","priceCents":45,"iy":70.96549662856447,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T00:00:50.223Z","priceCents":44,"iy":73.89877805261246,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T01:00:21.401Z","priceCents":45,"iy":70.97091571218299,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T02:15:16.919Z","priceCents":44,"iy":73.90971241600728,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T05:10:14.006Z","priceCents":45,"iy":70.9904538615094,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T05:20:41.269Z","priceCents":44,"iy":73.92488479436008,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T07:45:24.333Z","priceCents":45,"iy":71.00265654273123,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T07:55:24.050Z","priceCents":44,"iy":73.937474362434,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T09:10:23.500Z","priceCents":45,"iy":71.00932459432276,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T09:25:23.754Z","priceCents":44,"iy":73.94488891770153,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T14:05:36.869Z","priceCents":45,"iy":71.03250298725732,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T14:15:35.859Z","priceCents":44,"iy":73.96855482379927,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T17:55:57.442Z","priceCents":45,"iy":71.05060395667806,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T18:06:17.060Z","priceCents":44,"iy":73.98740418739752,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T23:10:58.524Z","priceCents":45,"iy":71.07539461891109,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T00:01:06.002Z","priceCents":46,"iy":68.26989740187838,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T03:11:01.077Z","priceCents":45,"iy":71.09431054278161,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:00:34.496Z","priceCents":46,"iy":68.5474186419348,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:15:33.580Z","priceCents":45,"iy":71.36944182697239,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:20:31.252Z","priceCents":46,"iy":68.54895393461607,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:15:33.424Z","priceCents":45,"iy":71.39331296267845,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:35:33.932Z","priceCents":46,"iy":68.57297925415145,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:10:46.202Z","priceCents":45,"iy":71.40245446604125,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T22:10:51.092Z","priceCents":46,"iy":68.58933487693557,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T02:55:58.225Z","priceCents":47,"iy":65.90772897501711,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T03:00:55.716Z","priceCents":46,"iy":68.61152073415093,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T04:05:57.597Z","priceCents":47,"iy":65.91290065895184,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:05:48.417Z","priceCents":46,"iy":68.63020312520567,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:06:00.960Z","priceCents":47,"iy":65.93486296762032,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T10:20:53.924Z","priceCents":46,"iy":68.64504639095622,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T10:26:19.085Z","priceCents":47,"iy":65.94077839773963,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T11:10:23.891Z","priceCents":46,"iy":68.64889569317518,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T12:45:16.608Z","priceCents":37,"iy":99.74201107481157,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T04:40:28.241Z","priceCents":38,"iy":95.83160062910927,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T04:45:16.527Z","priceCents":43,"iy":77.98455085003161,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T14:20:31.395Z","priceCents":44,"iy":74.92342342276298,"cri":1.273}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["17 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 45c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-RYA","marketTitle":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":45},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JOH","reason":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: John Malkovich"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-TOM","reason":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Tom Cruise"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JOS","reason":"2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?: Josh O'Connor"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=2027%20Best%20Actor%20Oscar%20nominations%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3413}