{"ticker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-SOC","venue":"kalshi","title":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?","description":"If The Social Reckoning has been nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":34,"bestBid":33,"bestAsk":38,"spread":5,"volume":3083.92,"volume24h":62.55,"openInterest":1591.63,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-12-31T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":521,"iyYes":142.2911038007638,"iyNo":34.51882647338647,"cri":2.03,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1212,"cvr":null,"overround":3.7,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.295,"label":"maker","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":505,"askDepthUsd":406,"volume24h":62.55,"observability":"none","eventType":"cultural","asPrior":0.05},"computedAt":"2026-07-28T19:39:24.495Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-ADV","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: The Adventures of Cliff Booth","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-ALL","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: All of a Sudden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-BLA","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: The Black Ball","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-CLA","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: Clarissa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-CRY","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: Cry to Heaven","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-DUN","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: Dune: Part Three","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-INV","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: The Invite","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-ODY","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: The Odyssey","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-PRO","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: Project Hail Mary","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-SAT","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: Saturn Return","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-TOY","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: Toy Story 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-WHI","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: The Whisper Man","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-WIL","connectedTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: Wildwood","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27","groupLabel":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T14:01:28.115Z","priceCents":41,"iy":95.4917728749356,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T08:16:38.034Z","priceCents":42,"iy":91.76515056940343,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T10:16:08.559Z","priceCents":41,"iy":95.63852359700154,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-01T09:01:49.779Z","priceCents":42,"iy":91.93771790693994,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-01T11:01:17.270Z","priceCents":41,"iy":95.81840216996757,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T21:17:03.896Z","priceCents":40,"iy":100.13937205754857,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T10:02:34.396Z","priceCents":41,"iy":96.16205988554239,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T12:02:29.968Z","priceCents":40,"iy":100.25214100120299,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-04T09:31:22.904Z","priceCents":41,"iy":96.33472647021513,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-04T11:31:13.867Z","priceCents":40,"iy":100.43199515725172,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T08:45:57.572Z","priceCents":41,"iy":96.50606372671601,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T10:46:52.409Z","priceCents":40,"iy":100.61083178971506,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T12:01:27.739Z","priceCents":41,"iy":96.53018474447451,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-05T14:00:56.768Z","priceCents":40,"iy":100.6357976696609,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T08:32:29.406Z","priceCents":41,"iy":96.68210452630733,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T10:31:28.490Z","priceCents":40,"iy":100.79420309065401,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T11:31:18.112Z","priceCents":41,"iy":96.70417705014766,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T13:31:00.293Z","priceCents":40,"iy":100.81721792355198,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T00:46:48.987Z","priceCents":41,"iy":96.80273620676762,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T02:46:23.592Z","priceCents":40,"iy":100.91998473758036,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T07:31:03.420Z","priceCents":41,"iy":97.0316383968995,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T09:31:36.586Z","priceCents":40,"iy":101.158846179429,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T10:16:06.327Z","priceCents":41,"iy":97.05225683790275,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T12:16:04.915Z","priceCents":40,"iy":101.18015797040918,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T12:46:04.706Z","priceCents":41,"iy":97.0709106270132,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T14:45:59.551Z","priceCents":40,"iy":101.19960814033011,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T18:31:43.593Z","priceCents":41,"iy":97.11398521206772,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T19:02:56.951Z","priceCents":40,"iy":101.23310239242942,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T21:31:55.699Z","priceCents":41,"iy":97.13643503554921,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T09:02:49.207Z","priceCents":40,"iy":101.34234647791382,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T14:01:02.921Z","priceCents":41,"iy":97.26000478464127,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T21:46:09.521Z","priceCents":42,"iy":94.08823654378222,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-14T18:31:38.128Z","priceCents":41,"iy":98.20341335638476,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T03:02:57.292Z","priceCents":40,"iy":102.43256289078721,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T22:16:41.010Z","priceCents":35,"iy":127.01160824534202,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T22:30:58.508Z","priceCents":34,"iy":132.76122741695147,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T18:01:42.930Z","priceCents":35,"iy":127.44694097796526,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T09:16:22.161Z","priceCents":13,"iy":460.67760155181105,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T13:31:00.382Z","priceCents":14,"iy":422.99633951176594,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T13:46:36.679Z","priceCents":34,"iy":133.67193190178034,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T14:02:31.657Z","priceCents":35,"iy":127.88792220533223,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T19:00:57.773Z","priceCents":36,"iy":122.47045557541509,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T21:46:00.163Z","priceCents":34,"iy":133.75596293965955,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-21T15:32:32.363Z","priceCents":35,"iy":128.38762727488944,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T19:31:31.585Z","priceCents":34,"iy":134.74982679417235,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T03:46:40.866Z","priceCents":35,"iy":129.0006513921196,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T06:30:55.414Z","priceCents":36,"iy":123.51459946795661,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T17:01:00.074Z","priceCents":35,"iy":130.1279175255018,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T18:46:00.899Z","priceCents":34,"iy":136.0351222469546,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T19:16:00.779Z","priceCents":33,"iy":142.28673252293603,"cri":2.03}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["maker regime","IY 142%","13 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 31c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-SOC","marketTitle":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":31},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-ADV","reason":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: The Adventu"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-ALL","reason":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: All of a Su"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-BLA","reason":"2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?: The Black B"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=2027%20Best%20Adapted%20Screenplay%20Oscar%20nominations%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":151}