{"ticker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T80000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will above 80000 jobs be added in August 2026?","description":"If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 80000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":41,"bestBid":43,"bestAsk":53,"spread":10,"volume":138,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":56,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-04T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":88,"iyYes":548.1704990736038,"iyNo":311.962835576206,"cri":1.326,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2326,"cvr":null,"overround":6.6,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":10,"bidDepthUsd":485,"askDepthUsd":2064,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T06:12:11.606Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T-25000","connectedTitle":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above -25,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T0","connectedTitle":"Will above 0 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T10000","connectedTitle":"Will above 10000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 10,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T100000","connectedTitle":"Will above 100000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 100,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T125000","connectedTitle":"Will above 125000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 125,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T20000","connectedTitle":"Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 20,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T30000","connectedTitle":"Will above 30000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 30,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T40000","connectedTitle":"Will above 40000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 40,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T50000","connectedTitle":"Will above 50000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 50,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T60000","connectedTitle":"Will above 60000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 60,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T70000","connectedTitle":"Will above 70000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 70,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T90000","connectedTitle":"Will above 90000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 90,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26AUG"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:39.156Z","priceCents":24,"iy":1095.9194187123303,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:46:04.310Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1690.020317062204,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T07:00:37.565Z","priceCents":2,"iy":16996.42680655339,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T09:00:23.812Z","priceCents":3,"iy":11224.182478165076,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T12:30:22.556Z","priceCents":31,"iy":773.7400878472267,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:15:26.084Z","priceCents":32,"iy":793.4052107734325,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T13:30:23.239Z","priceCents":34,"iy":778.9718347842451,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T15:30:39.207Z","priceCents":43,"iy":532.4264468410389,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T17:45:29.411Z","priceCents":42,"iy":561.4252829668291,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T18:45:33.315Z","priceCents":43,"iy":545.2362651171702,"cri":1.326}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 548%","12 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.23)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T-25000","reason":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above -25,0"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T0","reason":"Will above 0 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 0"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26AUG-T10000","reason":"Will above 10000 jobs be added in August 2026?: Above 10,000"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20above%2080000%20jobs%20be%20added%20in%20August%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":177}