{"ticker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T-25000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in July 2026?","description":"If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":97,"bestBid":95,"bestAsk":97,"spread":2,"volume":503.28,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":406.28,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-07T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":25,"iyYes":76.16575337320391,"iyNo":27495.83696772656,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0211,"cvr":null,"overround":7.97,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":418,"askDepthUsd":10430,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-07-13T07:14:02.372Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T0","connectedTitle":"Will above 0 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T10000","connectedTitle":"Will above 10000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 10,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T100000","connectedTitle":"Will above 100000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 100,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T125000","connectedTitle":"Will above 125000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 125,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T20000","connectedTitle":"Will above 20000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 20,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T30000","connectedTitle":"Will above 30000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 30,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T40000","connectedTitle":"Will above 40000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 40,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T50000","connectedTitle":"Will above 50000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 50,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T60000","connectedTitle":"Will above 60000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 60,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T70000","connectedTitle":"Will above 70000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 70,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T80000","connectedTitle":"Will above 80000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 80,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T90000","connectedTitle":"Will above 90000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 90,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:31:20.562Z","priceCents":90,"iy":7300.32445886484,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T15:01:00.520Z","priceCents":89,"iy":8227.508269297985,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T17:31:51.150Z","priceCents":90,"iy":9178.541492036884,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T18:45:58.431Z","priceCents":93,"iy":13568.990190513508,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T20:16:00.393Z","priceCents":89,"iy":8277.78287415018,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T20:31:59.663Z","priceCents":93,"iy":13596.763533676485,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T21:31:00.414Z","priceCents":92,"iy":11782.786885245907,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T03:46:44.332Z","priceCents":89,"iy":8351.050018894943,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T04:01:19.535Z","priceCents":93,"iy":13716.758731326103,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T15:01:35.371Z","priceCents":92,"iy":12029.288702928878,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T16:01:40.272Z","priceCents":91,"iy":10589.22172488109,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T19:46:28.792Z","priceCents":94,"iy":16481.246637460594,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T21:31:15.133Z","priceCents":96,"iy":25301.100424573237,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T22:01:42.535Z","priceCents":95,"iy":20042.19409282699,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T23:31:25.404Z","priceCents":96,"iy":25361.89924724954,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-04T04:03:09.354Z","priceCents":94,"iy":16646.77399008276,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-04T19:00:57.797Z","priceCents":91,"iy":10942.112059877718,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T13:46:20.899Z","priceCents":94,"iy":17899.997913145082,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T14:02:30.642Z","priceCents":92,"iy":13143.886018475036,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T18:31:01.108Z","priceCents":91,"iy":11624.163140746345,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T19:16:52.846Z","priceCents":92,"iy":13234.227701232785,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T21:15:59.970Z","priceCents":13,"iy":7721.730757072477,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T23:01:41.452Z","priceCents":14,"iy":7104.156576606752,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T03:46:22.474Z","priceCents":13,"iy":7788.452340950506,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T04:00:57.887Z","priceCents":14,"iy":7151.286502544754,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T12:00:59.642Z","priceCents":92,"iy":13532.028756568565,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T12:16:41.916Z","priceCents":93,"iy":15638.316986312742,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T18:16:01.774Z","priceCents":92,"iy":13646.412432133693,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T19:31:26.205Z","priceCents":93,"iy":15792.118130347208,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T20:02:04.954Z","priceCents":92,"iy":13679.322144370224,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T21:16:40.185Z","priceCents":8,"iy":13702.0957106483,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T22:46:02.473Z","priceCents":6,"iy":18704.479044005406,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T23:46:00.565Z","priceCents":2,"iy":58581.72289551261,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T12:16:04.915Z","priceCents":92,"iy":13987.470425539013,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T12:31:38.953Z","priceCents":93,"iy":16165.363405179405,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T17:17:04.632Z","priceCents":92,"iy":14085.570469798666,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T17:32:24.315Z","priceCents":93,"iy":16278.779798871119,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T20:01:05.972Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1564.8637557955085,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T20:16:25.132Z","priceCents":92,"iy":14144.903117101947,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T21:01:08.204Z","priceCents":93,"iy":16358.405459066651,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T21:31:55.699Z","priceCents":9,"iy":12458.412569812497,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T07:16:02.636Z","priceCents":97,"iy":40393.15010667303,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T12:16:28.783Z","priceCents":92,"iy":14469.647350822166,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T14:31:05.465Z","priceCents":93,"iy":16770.830760109693,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T17:02:04.623Z","priceCents":95,"iy":24071.502950364433,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T14:31:55.931Z","priceCents":96,"iy":32546.906929221597,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T22:46:54.822Z","priceCents":95,"iy":27120.566266473714,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.021","12 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 87c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T-25000","marketTitle":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in July 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":87},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T0","reason":"Will above 0 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 0"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T10000","reason":"Will above 10000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 10,000"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T100000","reason":"Will above 100000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 100,000"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20above%20-25000%20jobs%20be%20added%20in%20July%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":127}