{"ticker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T70000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will above 70000 jobs be added in July 2026?","description":"If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 70000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":61,"bestBid":61,"bestAsk":62,"spread":1,"volume":1465.47,"volume24h":46,"openInterest":1273,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-07T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":25,"iyYes":925.2266106482631,"iyNo":2263.4899528088013,"cri":1.564,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0164,"cvr":null,"overround":7.97,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-07-13T07:25:05.227Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T-25000","connectedTitle":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above -25,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T0","connectedTitle":"Will above 0 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T10000","connectedTitle":"Will above 10000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 10,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T100000","connectedTitle":"Will above 100000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 100,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T125000","connectedTitle":"Will above 125000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 125,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T20000","connectedTitle":"Will above 20000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 20,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T30000","connectedTitle":"Will above 30000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 30,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T40000","connectedTitle":"Will above 40000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 40,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T50000","connectedTitle":"Will above 50000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 50,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T60000","connectedTitle":"Will above 60000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 60,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T80000","connectedTitle":"Will above 80000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 80,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T90000","connectedTitle":"Will above 90000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 90,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXPAYROLLS-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T20:46:13.377Z","priceCents":61,"iy":1370.5375966809167,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T21:02:20.162Z","priceCents":62,"iy":1430.0411002532746,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T21:31:14.101Z","priceCents":61,"iy":1371.591273808798,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T00:31:20.291Z","priceCents":62,"iy":1435.0723306893674,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T00:45:59.254Z","priceCents":61,"iy":1376.0543672807462,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T12:16:04.638Z","priceCents":59,"iy":1280.8015373186968,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-01T03:30:58.285Z","priceCents":61,"iy":1527.5256485723655,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-01T23:15:59.240Z","priceCents":62,"iy":1629.3023878675651,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T13:01:52.988Z","priceCents":59,"iy":1459.943581841244,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T13:15:59.422Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1401.4169072972975,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T16:01:58.341Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1349.5403584244268,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T17:31:51.150Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1408.3476363442833,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T18:02:04.527Z","priceCents":59,"iy":1468.4332870335327,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T18:45:58.431Z","priceCents":70,"iy":2383.084298692335,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T20:16:00.393Z","priceCents":69,"iy":2277.215368423336,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T21:31:00.414Z","priceCents":66,"iy":1988.9103182256508,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T02:32:00.936Z","priceCents":67,"iy":2092.5048879305555,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T03:46:44.332Z","priceCents":68,"iy":2193.323530243475,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T04:01:19.535Z","priceCents":69,"iy":2298.0209737185232,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T05:02:09.636Z","priceCents":68,"iy":2196.6156896063444,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T13:46:22.294Z","priceCents":67,"iy":2120.587781321485,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T15:01:35.371Z","priceCents":65,"iy":1942.6180514046628,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T16:01:40.272Z","priceCents":63,"iy":1783.2161324643823,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T19:30:56.139Z","priceCents":61,"iy":1644.9057420619351,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-03T19:46:28.792Z","priceCents":60,"iy":1577.9916993313348,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-04T04:03:09.354Z","priceCents":61,"iy":1661.952886080277,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T12:32:34.711Z","priceCents":62,"iy":1861.1360578457204,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T13:46:20.899Z","priceCents":63,"iy":1945.4281803245678,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T14:02:30.642Z","priceCents":62,"iy":1864.8076273351296,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T21:15:59.970Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1249.9736570356793,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T22:46:01.483Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1203.274924565037,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T04:00:57.887Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1261.1764956038232,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T09:31:07.363Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1220.594908057041,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T12:00:59.642Z","priceCents":62,"iy":1919.8759334262024,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T12:31:01.819Z","priceCents":60,"iy":1766.1860060001934,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T16:46:25.999Z","priceCents":59,"iy":1704.1754078032,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T21:16:40.185Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1240.118688985028,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T22:31:41.169Z","priceCents":51,"iy":1242.2679414789363,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T00:32:07.471Z","priceCents":53,"iy":1349.5827420842386,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T04:16:50.301Z","priceCents":55,"iy":1470.2758918697225,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T06:46:33.694Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1600.0965979969756,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T12:16:04.915Z","priceCents":59,"iy":1750.287921753555,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T20:01:05.972Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1331.997125468796,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T20:16:25.132Z","priceCents":59,"iy":1769.9878767953642,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T21:31:55.699Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1334.829918194196,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T21:47:21.842Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1282.9189490195647,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T07:16:02.636Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1353.3787406874997,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T10:46:15.082Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1306.7935715444032,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T12:16:28.783Z","priceCents":59,"iy":1810.6239527009695,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T17:02:04.623Z","priceCents":61,"iy":1981.5947098140782,"cri":1.564}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 925%","tight LAS 0.016","12 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 55c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T70000","marketTitle":"Will above 70000 jobs be added in July 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":55},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T-25000","reason":"Will above -25000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above -25,000"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T0","reason":"Will above 0 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 0"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T10000","reason":"Will above 10000 jobs be added in July 2026?: Above 10,000"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20above%2070000%20jobs%20be%20added%20in%20July%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":250}